Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff).

Championship - Round 42
Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	1.07
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
73% (258/353)	75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.77
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
73% (258/353)	75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)	37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)	58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.63	0.53
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
85% (11/13)	76% (13/17)
Duels won
48	49
Clearances Total
21	33
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.77	0.09
Goals prevented
0.77	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
57', Robinson C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
60', Phillips A. 🟨,
66', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
66', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
70', Robertson A. 🟨,
71', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
77', Chambers C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
77', Alves W. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
83', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
83', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cardiff City
41.3%

Draw
28.7%

Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

27.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.35)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	3.19 ↑ (2.92)	5.4% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stoke City?

Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Cardiff City?

Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:

08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4

14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2

24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1

04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0

22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1

Latest results of Cardiff City

08.04.2025 Preston North End - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stoke	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
2	Middlesbrough	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
3	West Brom	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6
4	Bristol City	3	1	2	0	5:2	3	5
5	Coventry	2	1	1	0	5:3	2	4
6	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
7	Hull	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
8	Preston	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
9	Southampton	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
10	Charlton	2	1	1	0	1:0	1	4
11	Leicester	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
12	Norwich	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
13	Portsmouth	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
14	Watford	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
15	Swansea	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
16	Millwall	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
17	Ipswich	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
18	QPR	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
19	Derby	3	0	1	2	5:9	-4	1
20	Wrexham	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
21	Oxford Utd	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
22	Blackburn	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
23	Sheffield Utd	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
24	Sheffield Wed	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One