Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.77
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.53
Fouls
1311
Tackles
85% (11/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4849
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.770.09
Goals prevented
0.770.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Hamadi A. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 57', Robinson C. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 66', Ashford C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 66', Salech Y. , Meite Y. ,
  • 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 71', Bae J. , Koumas L. ,
  • 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
  • 77', Chambers C. , Colwill R. ,
  • 77', Alves W. , Davies I. ,
  • 83', Manhoef M. , Gooch L. ,
  • 83', Thompson J. , Pearson B. ,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.3%
Draw
28.7%
Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.6% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.9% 32%

Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(2.35)
3.27
(3.42)
3.19
(2.92)
5.4%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4
    14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1
    04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0
    22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke321271334:29543
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton311091230:38-839
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One