Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (258/353) | 75% (259/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (258/353) | 75% (259/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/62) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (75/136) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.53 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 57', Robinson C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
- 66', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
- 66', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
- 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
- 71', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
- 77', Chambers C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 77', Alves W. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 83', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
- 83', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Cardiff City
41.3% | Draw
28.7% | Stoke City
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2%)
Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.35) |
3.27 ↓
(3.42) |
3.19 ↑
(2.92) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ng P.
(Injury)
Ralls J.
(Calf Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E.
(Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stoke City?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Cardiff City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
08.02.2025
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
3:4
14.12.2024
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
2:2
24.02.2024
Cardiff City
-
Stoke City
2:1
04.11.2023
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
0:0
22.04.2023
Cardiff City
-
Stoke City
1:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
