Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.77
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.53
Fouls
1311
Tackles
85% (11/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4849
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.770.09
Goals prevented
0.770.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Hamadi A. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 57', Robinson C. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 66', Ashford C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 66', Salech Y. , Meite Y. ,
  • 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 71', Bae J. , Koumas L. ,
  • 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
  • 77', Chambers C. , Colwill R. ,
  • 77', Alves W. , Davies I. ,
  • 83', Manhoef M. , Gooch L. ,
  • 83', Thompson J. , Pearson B. ,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.3%
Draw
28.7%
Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.6% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.9% 32%

Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(2.35)
3.27
(3.42)
3.19
(2.92)
5.4%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4
    14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1
    04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0
    22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One