Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.77
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.53
Fouls
1311
Tackles
85% (11/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4849
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.770.09
Goals prevented
0.770.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Hamadi A. , Gallagher S. ,
  • 57', Robinson C. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 66', Ashford C. , Tanner O. ,
  • 66', Salech Y. , Meite Y. ,
  • 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 71', Bae J. , Koumas L. ,
  • 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
  • 77', Chambers C. , Colwill R. ,
  • 77', Alves W. , Davies I. ,
  • 83', Manhoef M. , Gooch L. ,
  • 83', Thompson J. , Pearson B. ,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.3%
Draw
28.7%
Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.6% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.9% 32%

Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.31
(2.35)
3.27
(3.42)
3.19
(2.92)
5.4%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4
    14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1
    04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0
    22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One