Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Viaplay |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | Exxen |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.46 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (258/353) | 75% (259/344) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.46 | 1.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.09 | 0.77 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 21 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
73% (258/353) | 75% (259/344) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (19/62) | 37% (22/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (75/136) | 58% (50/86) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.63 | 0.53 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 49 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.77 | 0.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.77 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 57', Robinson C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
- 66', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
- 66', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
- 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
- 71', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
- 77', Chambers C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 77', Alves W. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
- 83', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
- 83', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Cardiff City 41.3% | Draw 28.7% | Stoke City 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2%)
Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↓ (2.35) |
3.27 ↓ (3.42) |
3.19 ↑ (2.92) |
5.4% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ng P.
(Injury)
Ralls J.
(Calf Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E.
(Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Stoke City?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Cardiff City?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
08.02.2025
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
3:4
14.12.2024
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
2:2
24.02.2024
Cardiff City
-
Stoke City
2:1
04.11.2023
Stoke City
-
Cardiff City
0:0
22.04.2023
Cardiff City
-
Stoke City
1:1
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One