Southampton vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

Championship - Round 3
Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.31	1.20
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
87% (397/456)	73% (190/259)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31	1.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	1.88
Total shots
18	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
10	4
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
32	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	5
Passes
87% (397/456)	73% (190/259)
Long passes
38% (15/39)	44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
80% (116/145)	58% (53/91)
Crosses
30% (14/46)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.02	0.41
Throw-ins
18	18
Fouls
5	12
Tackles
67% (8/12)	38% (3/8)
Duels won
41	45
Clearances
27	38
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.88	0.59
Goals prevented
-0.12	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Welington ↓, Manning R. ↑,
25', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
28', Mubama D. 🟨,
45+3', Seko T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Armstrong A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Baker L. ⚽,
57', Wood N. 🟨,
59', Mubama D. 🟨,
68', Wood N. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
71', Seko T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
71', Bae J. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
71', Johansson V. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Thomas S. ⚽, Johansson V. (A),
79', Charles S. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
79', Robinson J. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
81', Manhoef M. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Southampton
50.9%

Draw
26.1%

Stoke City
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

27.8%

18.7%

Southampton - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	4.17 ↓ (4.5)	5.1% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Southampton - Stoke City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Stoke (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Stoke (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 20%). Stoke (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stoke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J. (Inactive) Bree J. (Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stoke: Seko T. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Stoke City?

Southampton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Southampton?

Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Stoke City were as follows:

29.10.2024 Southampton - Stoke City 3:2

27.04.2024 Southampton - Stoke City 0:1

03.10.2023 Stoke City - Southampton 0:1

Latest results of Southampton

17.08.2025 Ipswich Town - Southampton 1:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Northampton Town - Southampton 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Southampton - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Espanyol - Southampton 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

16.08.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City 0:3 ✺

12.08.2025 Stoke City - Walsall 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Stoke City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One