Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (397/456) | 73% (190/259) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (397/456) | 73% (190/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/39) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (116/145) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (14/46) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Welington ↓, Manning R. ↑,
- 25', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
- 28', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 45+3', Seko T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Armstrong A. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Baker L. ⚽,
- 57', Wood N. 🟨,
- 59', Mubama D. 🟨,
- 68', Wood N. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 71', Seko T. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 71', Bae J. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
- 71', Johansson V. 🟨,
- 76', 0 - 2, Thomas S. ⚽, Johansson V. (A),
- 79', Charles S. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 79', Robinson J. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
- 81', Manhoef M. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Southampton
50.9% | Draw
26.1% | Stoke City
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Southampton - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.73) |
3.63 ↓
(3.75) |
4.17 ↓
(4.5) |
5.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Stoke City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
- In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
- In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Bree J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Seko T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Stoke City?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Southampton?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Stoke City were as follows:
29.10.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
3:2
27.04.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
0:1
03.10.2023
Stoke City
-
Southampton
0:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | West Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Leicester | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 8 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Preston | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Charlton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Hull | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 2 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
