Southampton vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Southampton - Stoke City
Result
3:2
29/10/2024 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 1
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV4
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Sky Sports+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
79%21%
Goal Attempts
136
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
11
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
40
Throw-ins
1415
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Fouls
513
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Harwood-Bellis T. , Fernandes M. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. (Pen),
  • 37', Fraser R. , Cornet M. ,
  • 45', 2 - 1, Phillips A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 2 - 2, Cannon T. ,
  • 59', Cannon T. , Koumas L. ,
  • 66', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
  • 66', Armstrong A. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandes M. , Brereton Diaz B. ,
  • 67', Archer C. , Onuachu P. ,
  • 71', Vidigal A. , Manhoef M. ,
  • 71', Sidibe S. , Moran A. ,
  • 81', Armstrong A. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 81', Bednarek J. , Sulemana K. ,
  • 84', Bocat E. , Burger W. ,
  • 88', 3 - 2, Bree J. , Sulemana K. (A),
  • 90+2', Cornet M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Southampton
69.9%
Draw
18.2%
Stoke City
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 21.6% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 20.5% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southampton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Southampton - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.54)
    5.24
    (4.41)
    8.11
    (5.67)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Southampton - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 74.1%97.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 1.
    • S`hampton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Stoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match S`hampton is absolute favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Stoke City were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Southampton - Stoke City 0:1
    03.10.2023 Stoke City - Southampton 0:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1AccringtonOldham
    2BarnetNewport2 : 3