Result
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 3
- Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Chances of winning
Southampton
54% | Draw
25.1% | Stoke City
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Southampton - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.73) |
3.78 ↑
(3.75) |
4.54 ↑
(4.5) |
5.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Stoke City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2.
- In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Stoke is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.
- In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Aribo J.
(Inactive)
Bree J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Cisse L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Seko T.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Stoke City?
Southampton has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Southampton?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Stoke City were as follows:
29.10.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
3:2
27.04.2024
Southampton
-
Stoke City
0:1
03.10.2023
Stoke City
-
Southampton
0:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stoke | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
| 5 | Coventry | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Hull | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Charlton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Norwich | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Swansea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Millwall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Ipswich | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | QPR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
