Stoke City vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.290.65
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
90% (536/598)61% (121/197)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.290.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.53
Total shots
811
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (536/598)61% (121/197)
Long passes
54% (21/39)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)58% (48/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.25
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
813
Tackles
67% (8/12)73% (29/40)
Duels won
4668
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.530.06
Goals prevented
0.530.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Seko T. 🟨,
  • 55', Lawal B. 🟨,
  • 57', Farquharson P. 🟨,
  • 64', Manhoef M. , Bae J. ,
  • 64', Lawal B. , Smith W. ,
  • 64', Gibson B. , Wilmot B. ,
  • 65', Maher R. , Hollman J. ,
  • 65', Gordon J. , Stuttle J. ,
  • 66', Barrett C. , Jellis J. ,
  • 74', Farquharson P. , Flint A. ,
  • 78', Clarke C. , Matt J. ,
  • 78', Seko T. , Baker L. ,
  • 89', Bozenik R. , Mubama D. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Matt J. (Pen),
  • 1, Baker L. (Pen),
  • 2, Stuttle J. (Pen),
  • 2, Donley J. (Pen),
  • 3, Flint A. (Pen),
  • 3, Mubama D. (Pen),
  • 4, Jellis J. (Pen),
  • 4, Bae J. (Pen),
  • 5, Adomah A. (Pen),
  • 5, Bonham J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
44.1%
Draw
39.6%
Walsall
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 23.3% 22.8%

Stoke City - Walsall Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.66
(1.73)
3.63
(4.01)
9.61
(4.09)
-34.7%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Walsall?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Walsall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Walsall
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    02.08.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 2:1
    22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3
    16.07.2025 Walsall - Aston Villa 1:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BarrowPreston0 : 1
    2WrexhamHull4 : 3
    3PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    4GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    5BurnleyBye
    6West BromDerby1 : 2
    7CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    8CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    9WolvesBye
    10ByeWest Ham
    11EvertonBye
    12ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    13TranmereBurton1 : 2
    14HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    16ByeChelsea
    17BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    18BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    20ByeArsenal
    21BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    22SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    23Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    24ByeBrighton
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29Crystal PalaceBye
    31NewportMillwall0 : 1
    32CoventryLuton1 : 0
    33NewcastleBye
    35StokeWalsall1 : 0
    36BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    37TottenhamBye
    39AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    40MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    41WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    42Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    43BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    44Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    45FulhamBye
    46Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    47Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    48CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    49SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    50PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    52ByeNottingham
    53SunderlandBye
    54HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    56ByeManchester City
    57BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    58ByeLeeds
    59GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    60ByeManchester Utd
    61BournemouthBye
    62ByeBrentford
    64ByeAston Villa

    1/32-finals
    1PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    2ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    3BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    4CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    5WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    6EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    7BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    8ByeChelsea
    9BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    10ByeArsenal
    11BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    12Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15Crystal PalaceBye
    16MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    17NewcastleBye
    18StokeBradford City0 : 3
    19TottenhamBye
    20AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    21WiganStockport County1 : 0
    22BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    23FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    24Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1
    25SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    26ByeNottingham
    27SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    28ByeManchester City
    29Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    30GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    31BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    32ByeAston Villa

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamReading2 : 0
    2BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    3WolvesEverton2 : 0
    4LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    5Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    6BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    7LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    8Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    9NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    10TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    11WiganWycombe0 : 2
    12FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0
    13SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    14HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    15Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    16BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    2WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    3ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    4LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    5NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    6WycombeFulham1 : 2
    7SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    8GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1CardiffChelsea1 : 3
    2ArsenalCrystal Palace2 : 1
    3NewcastleFulham2 : 1
    4Manchester CityBrentford2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaArsenal
    2NewcastleManchester City

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2