Result
1:0 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (536/598) | 61% (121/197) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (536/598) | 61% (121/197) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (21/39) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 58% (48/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 73% (29/40) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Seko T. 🟨,
- 55', Lawal B. 🟨,
- 57', Farquharson P. 🟨,
- 64', Manhoef M. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 64', Lawal B. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
- 64', Gibson B. ↓, Wilmot B. ↑,
- 65', Maher R. ↓, Hollman J. ↑,
- 65', Gordon J. ↓, Stuttle J. ↑,
- 66', Barrett C. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
- 74', Farquharson P. ↓, Flint A. ↑,
- 78', Clarke C. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
- 78', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
- 89', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Matt J. (Pen),
- 1, Baker L. (Pen),
- 2, Stuttle J. (Pen),
- 2, Donley J. (Pen),
- 3, Flint A. (Pen),
- 3, Mubama D. (Pen),
- 4, Jellis J. (Pen),
- 4, Bae J. (Pen),
- 5, Adomah A. (Pen),
- 5, Bonham J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Stoke City
44.1% | Draw
39.6% | Walsall
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Stoke City - Walsall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↑
(1.73) |
3.63 ↓
(4.01) |
9.61 ↑
(4.09) |
-34.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Walsall?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Stoke City will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Walsall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Walsall?
Stoke City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Stoke City?
Walsall has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Walsall were as follows:
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Walsall
Draw
Main1/64-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Sheffield Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Blackpool | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Barnsley | Fleetwood | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Salford | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | Colchester | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 9 | Bolton | Sheffield Wed | 3 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 11 | Grimsby | Shrewsbury | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester Utd | |
| 13 | Bournemouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 16 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 17 | Swansea | Crawley | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Plymouth | QPR | 3 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 21 | Sunderland | Bye | |
| 22 | Huddersfield | Leicester | 3 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 25 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 27 | Stoke | Walsall | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Blackburn | Bradford City | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 31 | Accrington | Peterborough | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Middlesbrough | Doncaster | 0 : 4 |
| 33 | Barrow | Preston | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Wrexham | Hull | 4 : 3 |
| 35 | Portsmouth | Reading | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Gillingham | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 38 | West Brom | Derby | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Cardiff | Swindon | 2 : 1 |
| 40 | Cheltenham | Exeter | 2 : 0 |
| 41 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 43 | Watford | Norwich | 1 : 2 |
| 44 | Northampton | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 45 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 47 | Newport | Millwall | 0 : 1 |
| 48 | Coventry | Luton | 1 : 0 |
| 49 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | West Ham | |
| 51 | Everton | Bye | |
| 52 | Chesterfield | Mansfield | 0 : 2 |
| 53 | Tranmere | Burton | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Harrogate | Lincoln | 1 : 3 |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Wigan | Notts Co | 1 : 0 |
| 58 | Stockport County | Crewe | 3 : 1 |
| 59 | Bromley | Ipswich | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | Leyton Orient | Wycombe | 0 : 1 |
| 61 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 62 | Bristol City | MK Dons | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Charlton | Stevenage | 3 : 1 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 3 | Barnsley | Rotherham | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Oxford Utd | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wed | Leeds | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Grimsby | Manchester Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 9 | Swansea | Plymouth | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 11 | Sunderland | Huddersfield | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Manchester City | |
| 13 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 14 | Stoke | Bradford City | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 16 | Accrington | Doncaster | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Preston | Wrexham | 2 : 3 |
| 18 | Reading | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Burnley | Derby | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Cardiff | Cheltenham | 3 : 0 |
| 21 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 22 | Norwich | Southampton | 0 : 3 |
| 23 | Crystal Palace | Bye | |
| 24 | Millwall | Coventry | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | Wolves | West Ham | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Everton | Mansfield | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Burton | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 29 | Wigan | Stockport County | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bromley | Wycombe | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fulham | Bristol City | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Cambridge Utd | Charlton | 3 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Port Vale | Arsenal | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Barnsley | Brighton | 0 : 6 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wed | Grimsby | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Brentford | Aston Villa | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Swansea | Nottingham | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | Manchester City | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Newcastle | Bradford City | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Tottenham | Doncaster | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Reading | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Burnley | Cardiff | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Liverpool | Southampton | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | Millwall | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Wolves | Everton | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Lincoln | Chelsea | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Wigan | Wycombe | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Fulham | Cambridge Utd | 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arsenal | Brighton | |
| 2 | Grimsby | Brentford | |
| 3 | Swansea | Manchester City | |
| 4 | Newcastle | Tottenham | |
| 5 | Wrexham | Cardiff | |
| 6 | Liverpool | Crystal Palace | |
| 7 | Wolves | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Wycombe | Fulham | |
