Stoke City vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Stoke City - Walsall
Result
1:0 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.290.65
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
90% (536/598)61% (121/197)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.290.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.53
Total shots
811
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
128
Passes
90% (536/598)61% (121/197)
Long passes
54% (21/39)41% (25/61)
Passes in final third
66% (66/100)58% (48/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.25
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
813
Tackles
67% (8/12)73% (29/40)
Duels won
4668
Clearances
3221
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.530.06
Goals prevented
0.530.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Seko T. 🟨,
  • 55', Lawal B. 🟨,
  • 57', Farquharson P. 🟨,
  • 64', Manhoef M. , Bae J. ,
  • 64', Lawal B. , Smith W. ,
  • 64', Gibson B. , Wilmot B. ,
  • 65', Maher R. , Hollman J. ,
  • 65', Gordon J. , Stuttle J. ,
  • 66', Barrett C. , Jellis J. ,
  • 74', Farquharson P. , Flint A. ,
  • 78', Clarke C. , Matt J. ,
  • 78', Seko T. , Baker L. ,
  • 89', Bozenik R. , Mubama D. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Matt J. (Pen),
  • 1, Baker L. (Pen),
  • 2, Stuttle J. (Pen),
  • 2, Donley J. (Pen),
  • 3, Flint A. (Pen),
  • 3, Mubama D. (Pen),
  • 4, Jellis J. (Pen),
  • 4, Bae J. (Pen),
  • 5, Adomah A. (Pen),
  • 5, Bonham J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
44.1%
Draw
39.6%
Walsall
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 23.3% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.
  • Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Stoke City - Walsall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (1.73)
    3.63
    (4.01)
    9.61
    (4.09)
    -34.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stoke City - Walsall?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stoke is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Walsall has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Stoke is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Walsall
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    02.08.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 2:1
    22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3
    16.07.2025 Walsall - Aston Villa 1:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham