Result
0:0
01/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (242/309) | 88% (473/538) |
| Passes in the final third |
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| 61% (49/80) | 77% (89/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 0% (0/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 57% (12/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Pearson B. 🟨,
- 33', Louza I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 69', Chakvetadze G. 🟨,
- 69', Ince T. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 69', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
- 75', Thompson J. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 75', Moran A. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
- 76', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Vata R. ↑,
- 89', Larouci Y. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
35.7% | Draw
29.1% | Watford
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Stoke City - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.31) |
3.28 ↓
(3.49) |
2.71 ↓
(2.95) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Watford?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Watford will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1.
- Stoke is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Watford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Stoke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Stoke: Gibson B.
(Leg Injury)
Gooch L.
(Leg Injury)
Mmaee R.
(Muscle Injury)
Sidibe S.
(Muscle Injury)
Wilson-Esbrand J.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Bachmann D.
(Ankle Injury)
Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J.
(Injury)
Chakvetadze G.
(Injury)
Keben K.
(Injury)
Wiley C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Stoke won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Watford?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Stoke City?
Watford has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Watford were as follows:
17.08.2024
Watford
-
Stoke City
3:0
29.12.2023
Watford
-
Stoke City
1:1
19.08.2023
Stoke City
-
Watford
1:0
08.05.2023
Watford
-
Stoke City
2:0
02.10.2022
Stoke City
-
Watford
0:4
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
