Result
1:0
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 22
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (244/322) | 85% (405/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (244/322) | 85% (405/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 66% (44/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (70/110) | 61% (66/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Bozenik R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bozenik R. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
- 59', Thomas S. 🟨,
- 65', Lawal B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 65', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
- 65', Ince T. ↓, Semedo V. ↑,
- 66', Semedo V. 🟨,
- 69', Pollock M. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 0, Kjerrumgaard L. ⚽, Kyprianou H. (A),
- 76', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 76', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 77', Bae J. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
- 83', Talovierov M. 🟨,
- 89', Irankunda N. 🟨,
- 90', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Watford
46.6% | Draw
27.8% | Stoke City
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1%)
Watford - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.03) |
3.44 ↓
(3.51) |
3.68 ↑
(3.41) |
5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Watford could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Watford: Baah K.
(Injury)
Doumbia M.
(International duty)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kayembe E.
(International duty)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wiley C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Stoke: Baker L.
(Inactive)
Tchamadeu J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Watford won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Stoke City?
Watford has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Watford?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Stoke City were as follows:
01.03.2025
Stoke City
-
Watford
0:0
17.08.2024
Watford
-
Stoke City
3:0
29.12.2023
Watford
-
Stoke City
1:1
19.08.2023
Stoke City
-
Watford
1:0
08.05.2023
Watford
-
Stoke City
2:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
