Result
0:2
16/02/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4, Moja TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 France | DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (476/553) | 87% (395/454) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 69% (85/123) | 80% (78/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 29% (4/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 63% (12/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Fulgini A. 🟨,
- 16', Omobamidele A. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Still W. 🟨,
- 57', Machado D. 🟨,
- 65', Fulgini A. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
- 66', Nanasi S. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 72', Machado D. 🟨,
- 75', Diouf A. ↓, Juma Bah A. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 1, Bakwa D. ⚽, Barco V. (A),
- 85', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
- 86', Sotoca F. ↓, Said W. ↑,
- 86', Aguilar R. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 87', Moreira D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 87', Barco V. ↓, Sobol E. ↑,
- 90+5', Lemarechal F. 🟨,
- 90+6', 0 - 2, Emegha E. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
- 90+7', Emegha E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lens
50.6% | Draw
25.5% | Strasbourg
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lens - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.67) |
3.75 ↓
(4.01) |
4.03 ↓
(4.96) |
4.1%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Lens - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lens will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lens won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Strasbourg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lens is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Labeau Lascary R.
(Knee Injury)
Medina F.
(Red Card)
Petric D.
(Back Injury)
Ryan M.
(Hip Injury)
Satriano M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Bakwa D.
(Knee Injury)
Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doukoure I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Delaine T.
(Back Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Lens won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lens won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Strasbourg?
Lens has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lens?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Strasbourg were as follows:
06.10.2024
Strasbourg
-
Lens
2:2
10.02.2024
Lens
-
Strasbourg
3:1
29.09.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lens
0:1
07.04.2023
Lens
-
Strasbourg
2:1
11.01.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lens
2:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
