Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 13
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (476/553) | 84% (385/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (476/553) | 84% (385/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (24/52) | 59% (16/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/86) | 59% (44/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hogsberg L. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 61', Lemarechal F. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
- 61', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
- 68', Doue G. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 0, Ganiou I. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 75', Said W. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 75', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
- 77', Barco V. 🟥,
- 77', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 85', Moreira D. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
- 85', Edouard O. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 90+1', Doue G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 90+5', Guilavogui M. 🟥,
- 90+6', Sotoca F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Emegha E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lens 45.6% | Draw 25.7% | Strasbourg 28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lens - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (1.97) |
3.75 ↓ (3.77) |
3.38 ↓ (3.61) |
4.1% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Strasbourg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lens (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Strasbourg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.65% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lens (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
- Lens is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Strasbourg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lens: Gradit J.
(Yellow Cards)
Machado D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I.
(Red Card)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lens won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Strasbourg?
Lens has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lens?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Strasbourg were as follows:
16.02.2025
Lens
-
Strasbourg
0:2
06.10.2024
Strasbourg
-
Lens
2:2
10.02.2024
Lens
-
Strasbourg
3:1
29.09.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lens
0:1
07.04.2023
Lens
-
Strasbourg
2:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Lens | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | Lyon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Lorient | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | Monaco | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Brest | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Nice | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 13 |
| 18 | Metz | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2