Strasbourg vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.62
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
19
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (323/391)88% (519/590)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.891.82
Total shots
916
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1426
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
83% (323/391)88% (519/590)
Long passes
39% (13/33)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
55% (36/66)83% (147/177)
Crosses
43% (6/14)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.97
Throw-ins
919
Fouls
1315
Tackles
55% (6/11)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3942
Clearances
2918
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
1.820.89
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Aguerd N. 🟨,
  • 27', Murillo M. 🟨,
  • 38', O'Riley M. 🟨,
  • 45', Balerdi L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Emegha E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
  • 46', Paez K. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
  • 58', Weah T. ↓, Emerson ↑,
  • 58', Paixao I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
  • 58', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
  • 62', Emegha E. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
  • 66', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
  • 84', Doue G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
  • 84', Barco V. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
  • 85', Medina F. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 85', O'Riley M. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
29.3%		Draw
27.3%		Olympique Marseille
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 25.5% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5% 26.4% 50.9%

Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.28 ↓
(3.73)		 3.53 ↓
(3.7)		 2.23 ↑
(1.93)		 3.7%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 36.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 26.4% – 55.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
    • Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Marseille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Nanasi S. (Shoulder Injury) Nzingoula R. (Red Card) Oyedele M. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 1:1
    29.09.2024 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    12.01.2024 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 1:1
    25.11.2023 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:1
    12.03.2023 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 2:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    22.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain 1:0 ✺
    16.09.2025 Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1473421:15624
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Nice1452719:26-717
    12Angers1444612:17-516
    13Paris FC1443721:26-515
    14Le Havre1435613:21-814
    15Lorient1435618:28-1014
    16Nantes1525813:24-1111
    17Metz1432914:31-1711
    18Auxerre142398:20-129

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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