Olympique Marseille vs Strasbourg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 22
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.441.97
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
55
Passes
85% (361/427)89% (489/547)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
1.441.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.73
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
47
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
810
Shots outside the box
22
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2130
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1011
Passes
85% (361/427)89% (489/547)
Long passes
36% (18/50)68% (17/25)
Passes in final third
74% (87/117)80% (104/130)
Crosses
15% (2/13)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.351.45
Throw ins
1819
Fouls
1110
Tackles
69% (18/26)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5948
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
1.731.51
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽, Gouiri A. (A),
  • 26', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 42', Aguerd N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽,
  • 63', Enciso J. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
  • 64', Hogsberg L. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
  • 71', Nadir B. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
  • 71', Aubameyang P. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 72', Paixao I. 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽, Godo M. (A),
  • 83', Panichelli J. 🟨,
  • 85', Gouiri A. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
  • 86', Chilwell B. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Panichelli J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+8', Weah T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Yassine G. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
  • 90+9', Barco V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
50.1%		Draw
24.9%		Strasbourg
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 22.7% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 25.4% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olympique Marseille's form might have worsened.
  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.67)    		 3.84 ↓
    (4.16)    		 3.87 ↓
    (4.56)    		 4.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Strasbourg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Marseille (1.28) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympique Marseille will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Thigh Injury) Doue G. (Ankle Injury) Doukoure I. (Red Card) Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Oyedele M. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:19. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:2
    19.01.2025 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 1:1
    29.09.2024 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:0
    12.01.2024 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 1:1
    25.11.2023 Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille 1:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    08.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 5:0 ✺
    03.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 3:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Paris FC - Olympique Marseille 2:2 ✺
    28.01.2026 Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    05.02.2026 Strasbourg - Monaco 3:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Lille - Strasbourg 1:4 ✺
    18.01.2026 Strasbourg - Metz 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Lille29165849:341553
    4Marseille29164958:382052
    5Lyon29156843:291451
    6Rennes29148749:41850
    7Monaco291541050:43749
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient29911938:44-638
    10Toulouse291071239:39037
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers29961425:39-1433
    14Le Havre296111224:37-1329
    15Nice29771534:56-2228
    16Auxerre29591523:37-1424
    17Nantes28471724:45-2119
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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