Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (36/66) | 83% (147/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Aguerd N. 🟨,
- 27', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 38', O'Riley M. 🟨,
- 45', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Emegha E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 46', Paez K. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 58', Weah T. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 58', Paixao I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 58', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 62', Emegha E. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
- 66', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
- 84', Doue G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 84', Barco V. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 85', Medina F. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 85', O'Riley M. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
29.3% | Draw
27.3% | Olympique Marseille
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↓
(3.73) |
3.53 ↓
(3.7) |
2.23 ↑
(1.93) |
3.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 36.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 26.4% – 55.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marseille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J.
(Knee Injury)
Nanasi S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Red Card)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Olympique Marseille?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Strasbourg?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
19.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
29.09.2024
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
12.01.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
25.11.2023
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
12.03.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
2:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
