Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 6
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | ESPN 3 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 9 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.89 | 1.82 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
83% (323/391) | 88% (519/590) |
Long passes |
---|
39% (13/33) | 48% (26/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (36/66) | 83% (147/177) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (6/14) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.88 | 0.97 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.82 | 0.89 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.18 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Aguerd N. 🟨,
- 27', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 38', O'Riley M. 🟨,
- 45', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Emegha E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 46', Paez K. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Ouattara A. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 58', Weah T. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 58', Paixao I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
- 58', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
- 62', Emegha E. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
- 66', Amo-Ameyaw S. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
- 84', Doue G. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 84', Barco V. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 85', Medina F. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
- 85', O'Riley M. ↓, Pavard B. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Murillo M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg 29.3% | Draw 27.3% | Olympique Marseille 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympique Marseille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.28 ↓ (3.73) |
3.53 ↓ (3.7) |
2.23 ↑ (1.93) |
3.7% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 36.4%). Marseille will win (votes: 18 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 26.4% – 55.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marseille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J.
(Knee Injury)
Nanasi S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Red Card)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G.
(Calf Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Olympique Marseille?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Strasbourg?
Olympique Marseille has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
19.01.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
29.09.2024
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
12.01.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
1:1
25.11.2023
Strasbourg
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
12.03.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Strasbourg
2:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 12 |
4 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
5 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Lens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
10 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
15 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Nantes | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2