Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/05/2023 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 36
 
                                                - Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport | 
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 | 
 France | Amazon Prime Video | 
 Serbia | Arena Sport | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Troyes  13.6% | Draw  20% | Strasbourg  66.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Troyes - Strasbourg Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   7.01 ↑ (4.69) | 
			   4.75 ↑ (3.85) | 
			   1.44 ↓ (1.71) | 
			   4.9% (5.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Troyes - Strasbourg?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            27 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 40.8% – 77.8%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Troyes has the most likely position - 19 (53.05%),  project points - 24,  currently - 22,  a very good chance of relegated (>99%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
 - Strasbourg has the most likely position - 14 (59.44%),  project points - 42,  currently - 38,  a very small chance of relegated (<1%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
 - This event has quality 48, very small importance 0, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2. 
 - Troyes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Strasbourg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
 - Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
 - In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
 - There will not play in Troyes: Balde M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ripart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
 - There will not play in Strasbourg: Kandil N.
(Injury)
Kawashima E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sobol E.
(Broken nose)
 - Last 7 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Strasbourg?
                    
                    
                        
                            Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Troyes?
                    
                    
                        
                             Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Strasbourg were as follows:
                                                        
                                02.01.2023 
                                Strasbourg 
                                - 
                                Troyes 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Strasbourg                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | PSG | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 24 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 | 
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 | 
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | 
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 | 
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 | 
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 | 
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | 
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 | 
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | 
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 9 | 
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 8 | 
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2