Result
1:1
21/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 36
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Troyes
13.6% | Draw
20% | Strasbourg
66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troyes - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.01 ↑
(4.69) |
4.75 ↑
(3.85) |
1.44 ↓
(1.71) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 40.8% – 77.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Troyes has the most likely position - 19 (53.05%), project points - 24, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Strasbourg has the most likely position - 14 (59.44%), project points - 42, currently - 38, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 48, very small importance 0, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
- Troyes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Strasbourg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Troyes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Troyes: Balde M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ripart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Kandil N.
(Injury)
Kawashima E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sobol E.
(Broken nose)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Strasbourg?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Troyes?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Strasbourg were as follows:
02.01.2023
Strasbourg
-
Troyes
2:3
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
