Sturm Graz vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
0:1
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaServus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyRTL+, Servus TV
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.110.91
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1823
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
2114
Passes
81% (348/428)73% (221/302)
Long passes
52% (22/42)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
73% (72/98)70% (73/105)
Crosses
21% (6/29)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.26
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1421
Tackles
36% (4/11)48% (11/23)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.910.11
Goals prevented
-0.090.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Malic A. 🟨,
  • 16', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽, Elsnik T. (A),
  • 66', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
  • 66', Jatta S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
  • 68', Rodrigo 🟨,
  • 70', Ivanic M. 🟨,
  • 78', Krunic R. 🟨,
  • 79', Karic E. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
  • 79', Malic A. ↓, Bendra K. ↑,
  • 79', Malone M. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
  • 82', Milson ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
  • 87', Ivanic M. ↓, Katai A. ↑,
  • 90', Bendra K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Handel T. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
  • 90+8', Mitchell J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Katai A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sturm Graz
27.9%		Draw
25%		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 25.7% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 25.2% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.
  • Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.43 ↑
    (2.86)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.67)    		 2.04 ↓
    (2.29)    		 4.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 11 - 36.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 19.5% – 53.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • DNB - Sturm (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Crvena Zvezda (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 1 - 20%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Inactive) Lavalee D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Lucic V. (Inactive) Sandoval K. (Inactive) Tebo Uchenna F. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Grgic L. (Injury) Mitchell J. (Injury) Rozga F. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    07.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Grazer AK 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Sturm Graz - Swarovski Tirol 1:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 0:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Panathinaikos - Sturm Graz 2:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Sturm Graz - LASK Linz 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
    07.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Vojvodina 0:1 ✺
    04.12.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički 3:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 3:4 ✺
    27.11.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - FCSB 1:0 ✺
    23.11.2025 Javor Ivanjica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    4PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    5Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    6Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    7Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    8Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9FC Porto (5)Bye
    10Braga (6)Bye
    11Midtjylland (3)Bye
    12Betis (4)Bye
    13Freiburg (7)Bye
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lyon (1)Bye
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy