Result
3:2
11/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
Argentina | ESPN 2, Fox Sports |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Canal+ |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | Sony LIV |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 254 |
Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+ |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | TRT Spor |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.94 | 1.23 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Goal Attempts |
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18 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
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9 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 6 |
Offsides |
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0 | 4 |
Fouls |
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6 | 8 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 20 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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55 | 19 |
Passes |
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88% (558/635) | 73% (226/309) |
Passes in the final third |
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78% (163/209) | 61% (41/67) |
Crosses |
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20% (3/15) | 9% (1/11) |
Tackles |
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59% (10/17) | 57% (17/30) |
Clearances Total |
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19 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Alexsandro (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Bakker M. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Chukwuani T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Biereth M. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
- 56', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 68', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 68', Cabella R. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 74', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 80', Sahraoui O. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 84', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 85', Boving W. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
- 87', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 87', Chukwuani T. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 63.7% | Draw 21.8% | Sturm Graz 14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Lille - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.53) |
4.42 ↓ (4.44) |
6.7 ↑ (5.94) |
3.6% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
95 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 86 - 90.5%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.6% – 96.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sturm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Scherpen K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A.
(Calf Injury)
Meunier T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.49.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Sturm Graz?
Lille has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Lille?
Sturm Graz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Sturm Graz were as follows:
14.03.2024
Lille
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
07.03.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Lille
0:3
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
2 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
3 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
4 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
5 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
6 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
7 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
8 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
9 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
10 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
11 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
13 | Rijeka | Bye | |
14 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
15 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
16 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
17 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
18 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
19 | Pafos | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
21 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
22 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
23 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
24 | Bye | Qarabag | |
25 | Brann | Bye | |
26 | Bye | Salzburg | |
28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
29 | Rangers | Bye | |
30 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
31 | Plzen | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Servette | |
33 | Nice | Bye | |
36 | Bye | Benfica | |
37 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
40 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Quarter-finals1 | RFS | Malmo FF | 1 : 4 |
2 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 2 : 0 |
3 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 7 : 1 |
4 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 0 : 1 |
5 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 2 : 0 |
6 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 4 : 0 |
7 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 0 : 0 |
8 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 1 : 2 |
9 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3 |
10 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 1 |
11 | Shkendija | FCSB | 1 : 0 |
12 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 3 |
13 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 4 |
14 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
15 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 2 : 0 |
16 | Plzen | Servette | 0 : 1 |
17 | Nice | Bye | |
18 | Bye | Benfica | |
19 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
20 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
Semi-finals