Lille vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Lille - Sturm Graz
Result
3:2
11/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2, Fox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.23
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
86
Offsides
04
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
3120
Touches in the Opposition Box
5519
Passes
88% (558/635)73% (226/309)
Passes in the final third
78% (163/209)61% (41/67)
Crosses
20% (3/15)9% (1/11)
Tackles
59% (10/17)57% (17/30)
Clearances Total
1929
Interceptions
814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Sahraoui O. , Alexsandro (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Bakker M. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. , Chukwuani T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Biereth M. , Boving W. (A),
  • 56', Bouaddi A. , Mukau N. ,
  • 68', Ismaily , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 68', Cabella R. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 74', Bakker M. 🟨,
  • 80', Bakker M. , Haraldsson H. ,
  • 80', Sahraoui O. , Bayo M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Haraldsson H. , David J. (A),
  • 84', Gorenc Stankovic J. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 85', Boving W. , Horvat T. ,
  • 87', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,
  • 87', Chukwuani T. , Jatta S. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
63.7%
Draw
21.8%
Sturm Graz
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 20.9% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lille - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.53)
    4.42
    (4.44)
    6.7
    (5.94)
    3.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 86 - 90.5%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.6%96.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sturm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J. (Yellow Cards) Scherpen K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Calf Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.49.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    14.03.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 1:1
    07.03.2024 Sturm Graz - Lille 0:3
    Latest results of Lille
    06.12.2024 Lille - Brest 3:1
    01.12.2024 Montpellier - Lille 2:2
    27.11.2024 Bologna - Lille 1:2
    24.11.2024 Lille - Rennes 1:0
    10.11.2024 Nice - Lille 2:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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