Lille vs Sturm Graz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Lille - Sturm Graz
Result
3:2
11/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2, Fox Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 254
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.941.23
Ball Possession
67%33%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
82
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
86
Offsides
04
Fouls
68
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
3120
Touches in the Opposition Box
5519
Passes
88% (558/635)73% (226/309)
Passes in the final third
78% (163/209)61% (41/67)
Crosses
20% (3/15)9% (1/11)
Tackles
59% (10/17)57% (17/30)
Clearances Total
1929
Interceptions
814

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Sahraoui O. , Alexsandro (A),
  • 45+2', 2 - 0, Bakker M. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. , Chukwuani T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Biereth M. , Boving W. (A),
  • 56', Bouaddi A. , Mukau N. ,
  • 68', Ismaily , Gudmundsson G. ,
  • 68', Cabella R. , Fernandez-Pardo M. ,
  • 74', Bakker M. 🟨,
  • 80', Bakker M. , Haraldsson H. ,
  • 80', Sahraoui O. , Bayo M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Haraldsson H. , David J. (A),
  • 84', Gorenc Stankovic J. , Hierlander S. ,
  • 85', Boving W. , Horvat T. ,
  • 87', Johnston M. , Malic A. ,
  • 87', Chukwuani T. , Jatta S. ,

Chances of winning


Lille
63.7%
Draw
21.8%
Sturm Graz
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 20.9% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lille - Sturm Graz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.53)
    4.42
    (4.44)
    6.7
    (5.94)
    3.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Sturm Graz?
  • Users Predictions: 95 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 86 - 90.5%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.6%96.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sturm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Mbappe E. (Muscle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J. (Yellow Cards) Scherpen K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A. (Calf Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.49.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Sturm Graz were as follows:
    14.03.2024 Lille - Sturm Graz 1:1
    07.03.2024 Sturm Graz - Lille 0:3
    Latest results of Lille
    06.12.2024 Lille - Brest 3:1
    01.12.2024 Montpellier - Lille 2:2
    27.11.2024 Bologna - Lille 1:2
    24.11.2024 Lille - Rennes 1:0
    10.11.2024 Nice - Lille 2:2
    Latest results of Sturm Graz
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos2 : 0
    16PlzenServette0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Club Brugge KV
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce