Result
3:2
11/12/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Argentina | ESPN 2, Fox Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Canal+ |
 Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Hungary | RTL+, Sport 2 |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Ireland | Virgin Media Player |
 Italy | NOW TV, Sky Sport 254 |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2 |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+ |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4, Virgin Media More |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 55 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (558/635) | 73% (226/309) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 78% (163/209) | 61% (41/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 9% (1/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 57% (17/30) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Alexsandro (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Bakker M. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Chukwuani T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 2, Biereth M. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
- 56', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 68', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
- 68', Cabella R. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 74', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 80', Sahraoui O. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, David J. (A),
- 84', Gorenc Stankovic J. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
- 85', Boving W. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
- 87', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 87', Chukwuani T. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
63.7% | Draw
21.8% | Sturm Graz
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Lille - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.53) |
4.42 ↓
(4.44) |
6.7 ↑
(5.94) |
3.6%
(4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
95 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 86 - 90.5%). Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 84.6% – 96.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Sturm is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Mbappe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Gazibegovic J.
(Yellow Cards)
Scherpen K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Gomes A.
(Calf Injury)
Meunier T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Lille to win the game is with odds 1.49.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Sturm Graz?
Lille has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Lille?
Sturm Graz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Sturm Graz were as follows:
14.03.2024
Lille
-
Sturm Graz
1:1
07.03.2024
Sturm Graz
-
Lille
0:3
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | |
