Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 12
Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	0.67
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
73% (202/278)	87% (472/543)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	0.88
Total shots
9	14
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
15	30
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
73% (202/278)	87% (472/543)
Long passes
39% (22/57)	46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
55% (28/51)	75% (132/176)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.89
Throw-ins
19	23
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
40% (8/20)	38% (6/16)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances
34	17
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.88	1.04
Goals prevented
-0.12	-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. ⚽, Rossing-Lelesiit A. (A),
23', Stenzel P. 🟨,
34', Glatzel R. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
40', Fuhrich C. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stenzel P. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Undav D. ⚽,
57', Nartey N. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
65', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
67', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Vieira F. ↑,
67', Mikelbrencis W. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
68', Philippe R. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
74', Andres C. 🟨,
81', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
81', Undav D. 🟨,
87', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
88', Hendriks R. ↓, Mittelstadt M. ↑,
88', Bouanani B. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
89', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Vieira F. ⚽, Balde F. (A),

Chances of winning

Hamburger SV
31.1%

Draw
25.6%

Stuttgart
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.2%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

25.4%

43.3%

Hamburger SV - Stuttgart Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.05)	3.76 ↓ (3.77)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	3.8% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Stuttgart?

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 63.8% – 92.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Stuttgart might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.9:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Stuttgart?

Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stuttgart won against Hamburger SV?

Stuttgart has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Stuttgart were as follows:

05.06.2023 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 1:3

01.06.2023 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 3:0

Latest results of Hamburger SV

22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Stuttgart

27.11.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺

22.11.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺

09.11.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 3:2 ✺

06.11.2025 Stuttgart - Feyenoord 2:0 ✺

01.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	2	0	55:11	44	41
2	Dortmund	16	9	6	1	29:15	14	33
3	RB Leipzig	15	9	2	4	30:19	11	29
4	Bayer Leverkusen	16	9	2	5	34:24	10	29
5	Stuttgart	16	9	2	5	29:23	6	29
6	Hoffenheim	15	8	3	4	29:20	9	27
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	16	7	5	4	33:33	0	26
8	Freiburg	16	6	5	5	27:27	0	23
9	Union Berlin	16	6	4	6	22:25	-3	22
10	FC Koln	16	4	5	7	24:26	-2	17
11	Werder Bremen	15	4	5	6	18:28	-10	17
12	B. Monchengladbach	15	4	4	7	18:24	-6	16
13	Hamburger SV	16	4	4	8	17:27	-10	16
14	Wolfsburg	15	4	3	8	23:28	-5	15
15	Augsburg	15	4	2	9	17:28	-11	14
16	St. Pauli	15	3	3	9	13:26	-13	12
17	Heidenheim	16	3	3	10	15:36	-21	12
18	Mainz	16	1	6	9	15:28	-13	9

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga