Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.67
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (202/278)87% (472/543)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.870.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.88
Total shots
914
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1530
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
73% (202/278)87% (472/543)
Long passes
39% (22/57)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
55% (28/51)75% (132/176)
Crosses
19% (3/16)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.89
Throw-ins
1923
Fouls
1612
Tackles
40% (8/20)38% (6/16)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
3417
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.881.04
Goals prevented
-0.12-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Glatzel R. , Rossing-Lelesiit A. (A),
  • 23', Stenzel P. 🟨,
  • 34', Glatzel R. , Konigsdorffer R. ,
  • 40', Fuhrich C. , Undav D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stenzel P. , Leweling J. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Undav D. ,
  • 57', Nartey N. , Stiller A. ,
  • 65', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
  • 67', Lokonga A. S. , Vieira F. ,
  • 67', Mikelbrencis W. , Gocholeishvili G. ,
  • 68', Philippe R. , Balde F. ,
  • 74', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 81', Rossing-Lelesiit A. 🟨,
  • 81', Undav D. 🟨,
  • 87', Vagnoman J. 🟨,
  • 88', Hendriks R. , Mittelstadt M. ,
  • 88', Bouanani B. , Jovanovic L. ,
  • 89', Konigsdorffer R. , Ramos G. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Vieira F. , Balde F. (A),

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
31.1%
Draw
25.6%
Stuttgart
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 25.2% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 25.4% 43.3%

Hamburger SV - Stuttgart Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.14
(3.05)
3.76
(3.77)
2.21
(2.18)
3.8%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 63.8%92.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stuttgart will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.
    • Recent form of Hamburg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stuttgart is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Stuttgart might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Stuttgart were as follows:
    05.06.2023 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 1:3
    01.06.2023 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 3:0
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1
    25.10.2025 Hamburger SV - Wolfsburg 0:1
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    09.11.2025 Stuttgart - Augsburg 3:2
    06.11.2025 Stuttgart - Feyenoord 2:0
    01.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 3:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich15132055:114441
    2Dortmund1696129:151433
    3RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    4Bayer Leverkusen1692534:241029
    5Stuttgart1692529:23629
    6Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1675433:33026
    8Freiburg1665527:27023
    9Union Berlin1664622:25-322
    10FC Koln1645724:26-217
    11Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1644817:27-1016
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1533913:26-1312
    17Heidenheim16331015:36-2112
    18Mainz1616915:28-139

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga