Union Berlin vs Stuttgart: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga
Soccer German Bundesliga Union Berlin - Stuttgart
Result
4:4
19/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Union Berlin - Stuttgart - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.18
Ball Possession
22%78%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
67% (151/224)93% (764/825)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.18
xG on target (xGOT)
3.001.87
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
21
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1232
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
98
Passes
67% (151/224)93% (764/825)
Long passes
28% (12/43)39% (16/41)
Passes in final third
50% (30/60)81% (138/171)
Crosses
57% (8/14)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.94
Fouls
89
Tackles
88% (15/17)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4037
Clearances Total
3018
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.873.00
Goals prevented
-2.13-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 4)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Ilic A. ⚽, Doekhi D. (A),
  • 18', Chabot J. 🟨,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Leite D. ⚽, Querfeld L. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 2, Millot E. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
  • 38', 3 - 2, Querfeld L. ⚽, Leite D. (A),
  • 43', 3 - 3, Chabot J. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
  • 45+1', 3 - 4, Fuhrich C. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
  • 45+6', 4 - 4, Ilic A. ⚽, Trimmel C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 72', Chabot J. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
  • 72', Haberer J. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
  • 83', Hollerbach B. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
  • 83', Ilic A. ↓, Ljubicic M. ↑,
  • 89', Hendriks R. 🟨,
  • 90', Stergiou L. ↓, Stenzel P. ↑,
  • 90+1', Fuhrich C. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Schafer A. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,

Chances of winning


Union Berlin
33.1%		Draw
27.8%		Stuttgart
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 27% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 27.5% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+3%)
    •

    Union Berlin - Stuttgart Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.88 ↓
    (3.04)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.56)    		 2.44 ↑
    (2.33)    		 4.9%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Union Berlin - Stuttgart?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 42.6% – 78.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stuttgart (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1.
    • Union Berlin is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Stuttgart is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Ankle Injury) Kemlein A. (Foot Injury) Roussillon J. (Injury) Skov R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Stuttgart: Bujupi E. (Hamstring Injury) Diehl J. (Muscle Injury) Leweling J. (Muscle Injury) Olivier C. (Ankle Injury) Raimund L. (Muscle Injury) Vagnoman J. (Muscle Injury) Woltemade N. (Red Card) Zagadou D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Union Berlin: Juranovic J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stuttgart: Chabot J. (Injury) Chase A. (Groin Injury) Nartey N. (Thigh Injury) Toure E. B. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:20 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - Stuttgart were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 3:2
    08.03.2024 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 2:0
    31.10.2023 Stuttgart - Union Berlin 1:0
    21.10.2023 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 0:3
    01.04.2023 Union Berlin - Stuttgart 3:0
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    12.04.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Union Berlin 0:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Union Berlin - Bayern Munich 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Stuttgart
    13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bochum - Stuttgart 0:4 ✺
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Stuttgart 1:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Union Berlin - Stuttgart?
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