Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (362/464) | 58% (123/211) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (362/464) | 58% (123/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (37/80) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (65/123) | 46% (38/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Zedadka K. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Pecorino E. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 45', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tait F. 🟨,
- 59', Ceesay J. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 59', Haas N. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 63', Tait F. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 63', Casiraghi D. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 63', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 68', Merkaj S. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
- 72', Ghion A. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 72', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 74', Zedadka K. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
- 80', Ilie R. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
- 81', Verdi S. 🟨,
- 87', Tronchin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
38.4% | Draw
31% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.25) |
2.99 ↓
(3.13) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Südtirol will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 66.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Empoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Indragoli G.
(Inactive)
Konate I.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
Saporiti E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Martini J.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Empoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Empoli?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
05.10.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Empoli
1:2
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
