Result
1:2
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (129/207) | 86% (395/460) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (129/207) | 86% (395/460) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (17/62) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (58/114) | 82% (131/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Kofler R. 🟥,
- 42', 1 - 0, Pecorino E. ⚽, Coulibaly M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Belardinelli L. ↓, Yepes G. ↑,
- 46', Moruzzi B. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 46', Saporiti E. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Shpendi S. ⚽, Ilie R. (A),
- 62', Mallamo A. ↓, Bordon F. ↑,
- 62', Molina S. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
- 65', Shpendi S. ↓, Pellegri P. ↑,
- 67', Adamonis M. 🟨,
- 73', Merkaj S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
- 73', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 77', Elia S. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 80', Ceesay J. 🟨,
- 87', Guarino G. 🟨,
- 90+1', Coulibaly M. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 2, Nasti M. ⚽, Obaretin N. (A),
- 90+9', Tronchin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
35.8% | Draw
33.1% | Empoli
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.36) |
2.96 ↓
(3.12) |
3.1 ↑
(3.09) |
-0.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 15).
- Südtirol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Empoli's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Empoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Südtirol will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Bordon F.
(Inactive)
Casiraghi D.
(Inactive)
Mancini D.
(Inactive)
Masiello A.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Empoli: Degli Innocenti D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Konate I.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Nasti M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Empoli?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Empoli were as follows:
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
