Südtirol-Alto Adige vs Virtus Entella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 29
  • Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.931.02
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
22
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
62
Passes
71% (266/373)63% (163/258)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.931.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.311.21
Total shots
128
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
22
Blocked shots
84
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
2010
Passes
71% (266/373)63% (163/258)
Long passes
40% (31/78)40% (31/77)
Passes in final third
63% (109/172)49% (36/74)
Crosses
21% (6/29)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.25
Throw ins
3816
Fouls
1020
Tackles
74% (14/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
6659
Clearances
1250
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
1.210.31
Goals prevented
0.210.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Kofler R. 🟨,
  • 32', Marconi I. 🟨,
  • 38', Bariti D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Zedadka K. , Davi S. ,
  • 54', Crnigoj D. , Tait F. ,
  • 71', Pecorino E. , Verdi S. ,
  • 71', Kofler R. , Veseli F. ,
  • 71', Di Mario S. , Turicchia R. ,
  • 72', Bariti D. , Del Lungo T. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Marconi I. , Squizzato N. (A),
  • 80', Casiraghi D. , Tonin R. ,
  • 81', Cuppone L. , Tirelli M. ,
  • 81', Benedetti L. , Nichetti M. ,
  • 85', Dalla Vecchia M. , Alborghetti M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Südtirol-Alto Adige
53%
Draw
29%
Virtus Entella
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 28.7% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 28.4% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Südtirol-Alto Adige's performance.
  • Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Südtirol-Alto Adige that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.13)
    3.22
    (3.23)
    5.21
    (3.33)
    6.3%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Südtirol is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Odogwu R. (Inactive) Pietrangeli N. (Inactive) Veseli F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Virtus Entella: Karic N. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Südtirol: Cragno A. (Injury) Frigerio M. R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Virtus Entella: Mezzoni F. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige 1:1
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Latest results of Virtus Entella
    03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1
    27.02.2026 Monza - Virtus Entella 2:0
    21.02.2026 Virtus Entella - Catanzaro 1:3
    14.02.2026 Palermo - Virtus Entella 3:0
    10.02.2026 Virtus Entella - Cesena 3:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia ✔ 372310475:314479
    2Frosinone372212371:343778
    3Monza37229659:302975
    4Palermo372012561:313072
    5Catanzaro ✔ 371514860:481259
    6Modena ✔ 3715101249:351455
    7Juve Stabia ✔ 371117943:44-150
    8Avellino3712101542:55-1346
    9Cesena3712101542:52-1046
    10Mantova371371745:52-746
    11Carrarese3710141346:50-444
    12Sampdoria3711111535:47-1244
    13Padova3711101635:46-1143
    14Empoli379131545:52-740
    15Sudtirol378161337:47-1040
    16Entella379121634:50-1639
    17Bari379101835:58-2337
    18Pescara377131750:65-1534
    19Spezia378101942:58-1634
    20Reggiana378101935:56-2134

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)