Frosinone vs Südtirol-Alto Adige – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige
Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 4
  • Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.171.79
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
83% (329/397)64% (150/235)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.171.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.672.15
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
1611
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2829
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1818
Passes
83% (329/397)64% (150/235)
Long passes
48% (31/65)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
69% (67/97)55% (55/100)
Crosses
25% (6/24)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.87
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1818
Tackles
70% (7/10)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
3037
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.151.67
Goals prevented
0.15-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Calo G. (Pen),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Ghedjemis F. , Koutsoupias I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Pecorino E. , Odogwu R. ,
  • 46', Bordon F. , El Kaouakibi H. ,
  • 64', Tait F. , Martini J. ,
  • 68', Mallamo A. , Zedadka K. ,
  • 69', Monterisi I. , Cittadini G. ,
  • 69', Kvernadze G. , Masciangelo E. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Martini J. , Merkaj S. (A),
  • 74', Calvani G. 🟨,
  • 78', Calo G. 🟨,
  • 78', Davi S. 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 2, Merkaj S. (Pen),
  • 79', Merkaj S. 🟨,
  • 83', Bracaglia G. , Marchizza R. ,
  • 84', Oyono A. , Oyono J. ,
  • 85', Tronchin S. , Davi F. ,
  • 89', Vergani E. , Zilli M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Frosinone
50.1%
Draw
29%
Südtirol-Alto Adige
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 29.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 29.4% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frosinone's performance.
  • Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frosinone that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.37)
    3.38
    (3.2)
    4.69
    (3.19)
    2.2%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Frosinone: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Frosinone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Südtirol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Südtirol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Frosinone might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Inactive) Biraschi D. (Inactive) Corrado N. (Inactive) Gori L. (Inactive) Hegelund V. (Inactive) Marchizza R. (Inactive) Selvini A. (Knee Injury) Sherri A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Veseli F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:3
    30.10.2024 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone 1:1
    22.04.2023 Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:0
    04.12.2022 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone 1:1
    Latest results of Frosinone
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    30.08.2025 Palermo - Frosinone 0:0
    24.08.2025 Frosinone - Avellino 2:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    14.08.2025 Frosinone - L Aquila 0:0
    Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena853014:41018
    2Palermo844010:4616
    3Frosinone842213:8514
    4Cesena842213:11214
    5Monza84228:6214
    6Venezia834111:6513
    7Juve Stabia834110:8213
    8Reggiana833213:11212
    9Avellino833211:11012
    10Carrarese825113:9411
    11Sudtirol824212:11110
    12Empoli824211:14-310
    13Entella82339:11-29
    14Padova72237:9-28
    15Catanzaro70617:8-16
    16Pescara813413:16-36
    17Bari81348:15-76
    18Sampdoria81258:13-55
    19Mantova81256:14-85
    20Spezia80355:13-83

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