Result
1:1
06/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (547/629) | 64% (156/244) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (547/629) | 64% (156/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/69) | 32% (18/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (103/139) | 53% (65/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Tait F. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
- 6', Molina S. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 1, Davi F. (Own goal),
- 43', Davi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Tonin R. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
- 55', Davi F. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
- 63', Shpendi C. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
- 63', Bastoni S. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
- 63', Tait F. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 71', Berti T. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 71', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 83', Ciervo R. ↓, Wade I. ↑,
- 85', Tronchin S. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
- 85', Molina S. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 90+4', Davi S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cesena
42.8% | Draw
29.5% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.16) |
3.18 ↑
(3.13) |
3.38 ↓
(3.49) |
6.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Südtirol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.
- Cesena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Südtirol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cesena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M.
(Inactive)
Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Frabotta G.
(Inactive)
Mangraviti M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Cragno A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Davi S.
(Inactive)
Kofler R.
(Inactive)
Molina S.
(Inactive)
Odogwu R.
(Inactive)
Pecorino E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Bastoni S.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Cesena?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
25.10.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cesena
0:1
05.04.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cesena
1:1
03.11.2024
Cesena
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:0
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
