Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 34
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Huseynli R. (Pen),
- 22', Ba M. 🟨,
- 29', Alan Dias 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Abdullazada S. ↓, Kharaishvili G. ↑,
- 70', Ba M. ↓, L'Koucha K. ↑,
- 70', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
- 70', Muradov R. ↓, Nimely S. ↑,
- 77', Mustafayev V. ↓, Mossi T. ↑,
- 77', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Yansane M. ↑,
- 78', Samadov U. 🟨,
- 83', Cafarov C. ↓, Samadov A. ↑,
- 86', Kharaishvili G. 🟨,
- 89', Manafov T. 🟨,
- 89', Khvalko E. 🟨,
- 90', Samadov A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ardazishvili R. ↓, Mabatshoev S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kapaz
40.8% | Draw
29.7% | Sumgayit
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Kapaz - Sumgayit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.21) |
3.08 ↓
(3.09) |
3.11 ↓
(3.13) |
9.2%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1.
- Kapaz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sumgayit is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kapaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kapaz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kapaz won against Sumgayit?
Kapaz has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Kapaz?
Sumgayit has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kapaz - Sumgayit were as follows:
10.03.2025
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
3:0
20.12.2024
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
0:0
03.08.2024
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
2:0
04.05.2024
Kapaz
-
Sumgayit
1:1
01.03.2024
Sumgayit
-
Kapaz
1:3
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Qarabag | 36 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 86:19 | 67 | 89 |
| 2 | Zira | 36 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 59:27 | 32 | 74 |
| 3 | Araz | 36 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 58 |
| 4 | Turan | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 45:39 | 6 | 55 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 36 | 10 | 18 | 8 | 50:46 | 4 | 48 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 43 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31:53 | -22 | 33 |
| 9 | Kapaz | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 28:65 | -37 | 32 |
| 10 | Sabail | 36 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 28:59 | -31 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
