Result
0:1
13/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Jalilov J. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Moumini A. 🟨,
- 34', David Santos 🟨,
- 39', Mustafaev E. 🟨,
- 40', Tircoveanu A. 🟨,
- 42', Beskorovaynyi D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Moumini A. ↓, Orujov N. ↑,
- 63', Ahmadzada N. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
- 63', Mustafaev E. ↓, Badolo C. ↑,
- 63', Simon N. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
- 68', Keffel ↓, Pashayev V. ↑,
- 68', Tircoveanu A. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
- 78', 0 - 1, Rossi K. ⚽,
- 86', Balau D. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
- 90+3', Mammadov O. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
45.4% | Draw
30.1% | Shamakhi
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Sumgayit - Shamakhi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.16) |
3.06 ↑
(3) |
3.75 ↑
(3.43) |
8.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - Shamakhi?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Sumgayit will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shamakhi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 2.
- Sumgayit has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Sumgayit has had a series of away games.
- Sumgayit could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against Shamakhi?
Sumgayit has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Sumgayit?
Shamakhi has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - Shamakhi were as follows:
30.11.2025
Shamakhi
-
Sumgayit
1:2
29.08.2025
Sumgayit
-
Shamakhi
1:1
12.04.2025
Sumgayit
-
Shamakhi
1:2
09.02.2025
Shamakhi
-
Sumgayit
1:0
24.11.2024
Sumgayit
-
Shamakhi
2:1
Latest results of Sumgayit
Latest results of Shamakhi
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
