Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/330) | 83% (367/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/330) | 83% (367/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 75% (54/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 70% (107/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 77 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Konate F. P. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sitjakovs R. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
- 46', Maslovs R. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 49', Cucurs D. 🟨,
- 58', Tihonovics M. 🟨,
- 64', Minins J. 🟨,
- 68', Cucurs D. ↓, Skrebels R. ↑,
- 74', Glaudans A. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑,
- 74', Sula D. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
- 77', Fofana W. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 78', Konate F. P. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Nakamura R. (Pen),
- 84', Tihonovics M. 🟨,
- 89', Bombans G. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
34.2% | Draw
26.5% | BFC Daugavpils
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.3) |
3.46 ↓
(3.75) |
2.34 ↓
(2.45) |
9%
(11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 1.
- In recent matches, Super Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Daugavpils is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
01.06.2025
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
15.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
1:1
23.09.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
05.07.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
2:0
14.05.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:4
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 26 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 67 |
| 2 | RFS | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 70:25 | 45 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 44 |
| 4 | Auda | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:30 | 4 | 37 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 34 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 24 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 23 |
| 9 | Metta | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 21 |
| 10 | Grobina | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 23:49 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
