Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/470) | 75% (249/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (394/470) | 75% (249/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (53/77) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (69/116) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Promise V. ⚽, Lizunovs V. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Sula D. ↓, Bombans G. ↑,
- 46', Tihonovics M. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
- 51', Oss M. 🟨,
- 53', Vejkrigers D. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Oss M. ⚽, Cirulis J. (A),
- 62', Minins J. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 65', Williams W. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Cirulis J. ⚽, Marchuk A. (A),
- 76', Skadmanis K. 🟨,
- 80', Kone M. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 81', Barkovskis N. 🟨,
- 86', Emsis E. ↓, Zants T. ↑,
- 90+2', Marchuk A. ↓, Berzins L. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Lizunovs V. ⚽, Williams W. (A),
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
47.9% | Draw
24.9% | Super Nova
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.93) |
3.7 ↓
(3.81) |
3.38 ↓
(3.39) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova?
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): BFC Daugavpils will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- Daugavpils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Super Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Super Nova has had a series of away games.
- Daugavpils is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Super Nova were as follows:
02.08.2025
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:1
01.06.2025
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
15.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
1:1
23.09.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
05.07.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
2:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Super Nova
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC ✔ | 36 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 85:26 | 59 | 88 |
| 2 | RFS ✔ | 36 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 100:39 | 61 | 87 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja ✔ | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59:52 | 7 | 61 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 51:59 | -8 | 48 |
| 5 | Auda ✔ | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 42:47 | -5 | 44 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 38:62 | -24 | 35 |
| 8 | Grobina | 35 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 31:62 | -31 | 31 |
| 9 | Super Nova | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 29 |
| 10 | Metta | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 36:73 | -37 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Riga FC is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
RFS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
FK Liepaja is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Auda is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
