Result
4:1
01/06/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Advertisement
Watch and bet Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/409) | 86% (393/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (325/409) | 86% (393/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 71% (41/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 75% (93/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 38% (3/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -2.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Minins J. ⚽, Sula D. (A),
- 20', Diakite T. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Sula D. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
- 34', Kone M. ↓, Kudelkins A. ↑,
- 35', Skrebels R. 🟨,
- 37', 3 - 0, Sula D. ⚽, Minins J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diallo B. ↓, Murakami S. ↑,
- 47', Tihonovics M. 🟨,
- 49', 3 - 1, Kudelkins A. ⚽,
- 51', 4 - 1, Oss M. ⚽,
- 66', Skrebels R. ↓, Kauselis K. ↑,
- 66', Taty C. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 69', Sula D. 🟨,
- 70', Zengis R. ↓, Deklavs A. ↑,
- 70', Tihonovics M. ↓, Deruzinskis R. ↑,
- 70', Minins J. ↓, Sitjakovs R. ↑,
- 73', Deruzinskis R. 🟨,
- 74', Diedhiou B. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
- 81', Sula D. ↓, Grikovs A. ↑,
- 90', Cudars K. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Super Nova
38% | Draw
29.1% | BFC Daugavpils
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Super Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.19) |
3.16 ↓
(3.21) |
2.8 ↓
(3.02) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils?
Users Predictions:
Super Nova will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- In recent matches, Super Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Daugavpils is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Super Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against BFC Daugavpils?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Super Nova?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils were as follows:
15.04.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
1:1
23.09.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:1
05.07.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
2:0
14.05.2023
Super Nova
-
BFC Daugavpils
0:4
01.04.2023
BFC Daugavpils
-
Super Nova
3:0
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 51:12 | 39 | 54 |
| 2 | RFS | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 35 |
| 4 | Auda | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 26 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 24 |
| 7 | Grobina | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:41 | -21 | 19 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 25:31 | -6 | 18 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 23:39 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Metta | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
Which TV channels are streaming of Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
