Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (352/428) | 86% (512/592) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (352/428) | 86% (512/592) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Stamenic M. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Makama J. ⚽, Sargent J. (A),
- 45+1', Cullen L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Topic M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
- 46', Schwartau O. ↓, Schlupp J. ↑,
- 65', Mattsson P. 🟨,
- 66', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Eom J. (A),
- 70', Gibbs L. ↓, Marcondes E. ↑,
- 70', Sargent J. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 74', Eom J. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 74', Stamenic M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
- 79', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 79', Cullen L. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 82', Makama J. ↓, Jurasek M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ronald ↓, Casey K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
43% | Draw
28% | Norwich City
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Swansea City - Norwich City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.13) |
3.41 ↑
(3.32) |
3.28 ↓
(3.4) |
4.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Norwich City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Norwich will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
- Recent performances by Swansea have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Norwich has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Swansea: Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
Yalcouye M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Norwich: Chrisene B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cordoba J.
(Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Calf Injury)
Forson A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Kvistgaarden M.
(Knee Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Muscle Injury)
Slimane A.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Norwich City?
Swansea City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Swansea City?
Norwich City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Norwich City were as follows:
25.01.2025
Norwich City
-
Swansea City
5:1
14.09.2024
Swansea City
-
Norwich City
1:0
27.04.2024
Norwich City
-
Swansea City
2:2
04.10.2023
Swansea City
-
Norwich City
2:1
22.04.2023
Norwich City
-
Swansea City
0:3
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Norwich City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
