Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 44
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/418) | 70% (236/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (308/418) | 70% (236/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (100/158) | 55% (57/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Toure M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Toure M. ⚽, Forson A. (A),
- 45+5', Toure M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Ozoh D. ⚽, Morris C. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Gibbs L. ⚽, Maghoma P. (A),
- 62', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
- 67', Banel J. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 67', Murkin D. ↓, Forsyth C. ↑,
- 67', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 69', Kovacevic V. 🟨,
- 75', Ozoh D. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 80', Forson A. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
- 80', Maghoma P. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
- 82', Travis L. 🟨,
- 87', Travis L. ↓, Eames O. ↑,
- 88', Stacey J. ↓, Field S. ↑,
- 88', Clarke M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Norwich City
46.2% | Draw
26.8% | Derby County
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)The ML Model estimate for Derby County aligns with the current prediction.
Norwich City - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.02) |
3.52 ↑
(3.5) |
3.51 ↑
(3.41) |
5.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Norwich City - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Derby (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 2.
- Norwich is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Norwich is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Norwich: Amass H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chrisene B.
(Inactive)
Crnac A.
(Knee Injury)
Diallo P. A.
(Muscle Injury)
Duffy S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Forsyth G.
(Knee Injury)
Jurasek M.
(Foot Injury)
Mahovo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Makama J.
(Foot Injury)
Topic M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Elder C.
(Toe Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Clark B.
(Injury)
Murkin D.
(Injury)
Sanderson D.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Norwich City won against Derby County?
Norwich City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Norwich City?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norwich City - Derby County were as follows:
21.10.2025
Derby County
-
Norwich City
1:0
08.02.2025
Norwich City
-
Derby County
1:1
28.09.2024
Derby County
-
Norwich City
2:3
Latest results of Norwich City
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
