Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 43
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/410) | 84% (423/502) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/410) | 84% (423/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (24/68) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (44/96) | 76% (127/167) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 28% (10/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Azaz F. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Stamenic M. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
- 23', Franco G. 🟨,
- 25', Downes F. 🟨,
- 25', Widell M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Downes F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Charles S. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
- 60', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 60', Cullen L. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
- 60', Parker S. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 68', Stewart R. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
- 68', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 73', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
- 88', Bree J. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Archer C. ⚽, Jander C. (A),
- 90+1', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
- 90+2', Matsuki K. ↓, Stephens J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
22.7% | Draw
22.6% | Southampton
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea City's form might have worsened.Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swansea City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Swansea City - Southampton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3.29) |
4.19 ↑
(3.48) |
1.75 ↓
(2.08) |
4.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Southampton?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - S`hampton (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - S`hampton (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Southampton will win
(59 of 68 users predict this - 86.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.7% – 94.82%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.
- Recent performances by Swansea have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- S`hampton is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, S`hampton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swansea: Galbraith E.
(Inactive)
Key J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in S`hampton: Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Eom J.
(Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Matsuki K.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Southampton?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Swansea City?
Southampton has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Southampton were as follows:
18.10.2025
Southampton
-
Swansea City
0:0
12.01.2025
Southampton
-
Swansea City
3:0
20.01.2024
Swansea City
-
Southampton
1:3
26.12.2023
Southampton
-
Swansea City
5:0
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Southampton
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
