Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 37
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (337/469) | 69% (234/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (337/469) | 69% (234/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/87) | 34% (26/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (75/147) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 33% (1/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.49 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Galbraith E. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 33', Vipotnik Z. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Key J. ⚽, Ronald (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alli M. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
- 59', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 59', Galbraith E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Brown J. ⚽, Swanson Z. (A),
- 69', Dia M. 🟨,
- 70', Key J. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 70', Franco G. ↓, Stamenic M. ↑,
- 71', Ward J. 🟨,
- 76', Brown J. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 83', Eom J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 84', Dia M. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
- 88', Adams E. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
39.9% | Draw
29% | Swansea City
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Portsmouth - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.51) |
3.27 ↓
(3.46) |
3.05 ↑
(2.7) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 32 - 68.1%). Swansea will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 54.8% – 81.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Swansea (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Portsmouth (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Portsmouth (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Swansea (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 19%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
- Portsmouth could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Anderson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Dozzell A.
(Ankle Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Swift J.
(Inactive)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Kirk M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Swansea City?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Portsmouth?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Swansea City were as follows:
09.12.2025
Swansea City
-
Portsmouth
1:0
01.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Swansea City
4:0
30.11.2024
Swansea City
-
Portsmouth
2:2
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
