Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town
Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 6
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.29
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (314/407)80% (375/471)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.512.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.272.49
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
77% (314/407)80% (375/471)
Long passes
38% (30/80)36% (27/75)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)64% (65/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.700.77
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1211
Tackles
87% (13/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5259
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.490.27
Goals prevented
-0.510.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Kilkenny G. , Wright W. (A),
  • 35', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Drinan A. , Oldaker D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wilson-Brown T. , Clarke O. ,
  • 46', Billington L. , Tezgel E. ,
  • 46', Powell J. , Golding J. ,
  • 52', Snowdon J. , McGregor J. ,
  • 56', Nichols T. 🟨,
  • 61', Glatzel P. , Palmer O. ,
  • 75', Connolly J. , Moult L. ,
  • 75', Agius C. , Finney C. ,
  • 76', Nichols T. , Ehibhatiomhan P. ,
  • 76', Drinan A. , Butterworth D. ,
  • 82', Hutchinson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
43.1%
Draw
27.6%
Swindon Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 27.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.26)
    3.51
    (3.38)
    3.23
    (3.07)
    3.2%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Clarke O. (Ankle Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town were as follows:
    11.01.2025 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    24.08.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 0:0
    13.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 2:1
    12.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:2
    19.11.2022 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:1
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League