Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Alexandra Stadium (Crewe).

League Two - Round 6
Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.29
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	19
Shots on target
3	9
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
77% (314/407)	80% (375/471)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	2.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	2.49
Total shots
10	19
Shots on target
3	9
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
6	11
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
77% (314/407)	80% (375/471)
Long passes
38% (30/80)	36% (27/75)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)	64% (65/101)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.70	0.77
Throw-ins
22	19
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
87% (13/15)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
52	59
Clearances
25	26
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	3
xGOT faced
2.49	0.27
Goals prevented
-0.51	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Kilkenny G. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Drinan A. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
46', Billington L. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
46', Powell J. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
52', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
56', Nichols T. 🟨,
61', Glatzel P. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
75', Connolly J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
75', Agius C. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
76', Nichols T. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
76', Drinan A. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
82', Hutchinson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crewe Alexandra
43.1%

Draw
27.6%

Swindon Town
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.8%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	3.51 ↑ (3.38)	3.23 ↑ (3.07)	3.2% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Clarke O. (Ankle Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Swindon Town?

Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crewe Alexandra?

Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town were as follows:

11.01.2025 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:0

24.08.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 0:0

13.01.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town 2:1

12.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:2

19.11.2022 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 0:1

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

23.08.2025 Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Fleetwood Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:4 ✺

16.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Crawley Town 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Stockport County - Crewe Alexandra 3:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

23.08.2025 Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town 2:1 ✺

19.08.2025 Swindon Town - Barnet 0:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Cardiff City - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Swindon Town - Cambridge United 3:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Walsall	13	8	2	3	19:12	7	26
2	Swindon	13	8	1	4	24:19	5	25
3	MK Dons	13	7	3	3	26:13	13	24
4	Grimsby	13	7	3	3	25:15	10	24
5	Gillingham	13	6	4	3	18:12	6	22
6	Chesterfield	13	6	4	3	23:20	3	22
7	Salford	13	7	1	5	18:17	1	22
8	Notts Co	13	6	3	4	23:15	8	21
9	Cambridge Utd	13	6	3	4	16:13	3	21
10	Barnet	13	6	2	5	16:13	3	20
11	Crewe	13	6	1	6	17:16	1	19
12	Fleetwood	13	5	4	4	19:19	0	19
13	Bromley	13	4	6	3	19:17	2	18
14	Colchester	13	4	5	4	21:18	3	17
15	Barrow	13	5	2	6	11:13	-2	17
16	Bristol Rovers	13	5	2	6	14:21	-7	17
17	Oldham	13	3	6	4	10:10	0	15
18	Tranmere	12	3	5	4	20:18	2	14
19	Harrogate	13	4	2	7	15:20	-5	14
20	Accrington	12	3	3	6	11:14	-3	12
21	Shrewsbury	13	3	3	7	10:20	-10	12
22	Cheltenham	13	3	2	8	9:25	-16	11
23	Crawley	13	2	3	8	10:22	-12	9
24	Newport	13	2	2	9	11:23	-12	8

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League