Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 6
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (314/407) | 80% (375/471) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (314/407) | 80% (375/471) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/80) | 36% (27/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (55/117) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 8', 0 - 1, Kilkenny G. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 3, Drinan A. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
- 46', Billington L. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 46', Powell J. ↓, Golding J. ↑,
- 52', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 56', Nichols T. 🟨,
- 61', Glatzel P. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
- 75', Connolly J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 75', Agius C. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 76', Nichols T. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 76', Drinan A. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
- 82', Hutchinson R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
43.1% | Draw
27.6% | Swindon Town
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.26) |
3.51 ↑
(3.38) |
3.23 ↑
(3.07) |
3.2%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Swindon: Ball J.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke O.
(Ankle Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Swindon Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town were as follows:
11.01.2025
Swindon Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:0
24.08.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Swindon Town
0:0
13.01.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Swindon Town
2:1
12.08.2023
Swindon Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:2
19.11.2022
Swindon Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
0:1
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
