Result
1:2
24/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (239/338) | 68% (203/297) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 51% (53/103) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 24% (6/25) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Hudlin K. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Smith H. ⚽,
- 45+1', Smith H. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hudlin K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Evans K. 🟨,
- 57', Whitmore K. 🟨,
- 58', Whitmore K. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 58', Hudlin K. ↓, Baker-Richardson C. ↑,
- 63', Nichols T. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 72', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 2, Westley J. ⚽,
- 86', Smith H. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 86', Cox G. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
- 86', Ajiboye D. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
25.7% | Draw
26.4% | Swindon Town
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-4%)
Newport County - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.07) |
3.56 ↑
(3.45) |
1.97 ↓
(2.19) |
6.1%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 20.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 2.
- Newport is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Swindon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Swindon have a series of home games.
- Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Newport won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:20 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Swindon Town?
Newport County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Newport County?
Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Swindon Town were as follows:
14.09.2024
Swindon Town
-
Newport County
4:0
03.02.2024
Newport County
-
Swindon Town
2:1
14.10.2023
Swindon Town
-
Newport County
2:0
04.02.2023
Newport County
-
Swindon Town
2:1
04.10.2022
Swindon Town
-
Newport County
1:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Grimsby | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Salford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Gillingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Bromley | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Walsall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Swindon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Colchester | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Notts Co | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Newport | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Oldham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 | Barrow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Accrington | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 22 | Crawley | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
