Result
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Newport County
21.2% | Draw
24.3% | Swindon Town
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Newport County - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.36 ↑
(4.2) |
3.89 ↑
(3.69) |
1.73 ↓
(1.78) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Swindon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swindon is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Newport won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Swindon Town?
Newport County has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Newport County?
Swindon Town has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Swindon Town were as follows:
24.01.2025
Newport County
-
Swindon Town
1:2
14.09.2024
Swindon Town
-
Newport County
4:0
03.02.2024
Newport County
-
Swindon Town
2:1
14.10.2023
Swindon Town
-
Newport County
2:0
04.02.2023
Newport County
-
Swindon Town
2:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
