Sutton United vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Sutton United - Swindon Town
Result
3:1
01/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 42
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.52
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1811
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
33
Corner Kicks
82
Offsides
53
Throw-ins
3025
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
148
Yellow Cards
21
Attacks
8079
Dangerous Attacks
6832

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lakin C. , Smith H. (A),
  • 21', Jackson R. , Goodliffe B. ,
  • 25', Brewitt T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Elbouzedi Z. , McKirdy H. ,
  • 48', 2 - 0, Bycroft J. (Own goal),
  • 57', Ofoborh N. , McEachran G. ,
  • 67', Sowunmi O. 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Smith H. , Coley J. (A),
  • 74', Aguiar R. , Cain J. ,
  • 74', Kokolo W. , McGregor J. ,
  • 75', Coley J. , Patrick O. ,
  • 75', Beautyman H. , N'Guessan C. ,
  • 81', Patrick O. 🟨,
  • 84', Adom-Malaki S. , Duke-McKenna S. ,
  • 84', Sanderson O. , Clay C. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Glatzel P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sutton United
44.5%
Draw
27.2%
Swindon Town
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 27.1% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 26.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.
  • Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sutton United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sutton United - Swindon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.51)
    3.45
    (3.4)
    3.33
    (2.55)
    6.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sutton United - Swindon Town?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Swindon will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 19).
    • Sutton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Swindon have a series of home games.
    • Sutton will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sutton United - Swindon Town were as follows:
    09.09.2023 Swindon Town - Sutton United 5:3
    14.02.2023 Sutton United - Swindon Town 2:1
    13.09.2022 Swindon Town - Sutton United 3:2
    Latest results of Sutton United
    Latest results of Swindon Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League