Brisbane Roar vs Sydney FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women
Result
0:4
13/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 17
  • Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.361.82
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
76
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
36
Passes
70% (248/355)79% (359/457)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.361.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.96
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
13
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1214
Passes
70% (248/355)79% (359/457)
Long passes
35% (21/60)35% (18/52)
Passes in final third
51% (57/111)61% (59/97)
Crosses
29% (4/14)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.91
Throw ins
3136
Fouls
1412
Tackles
71% (15/21)94% (15/16)
Duels won
4239
Clearances
1220
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
1.961.26
Goals prevented
-2.041.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Pearson W. ↑,
  • 47', 0 - 1, Hawkesby M. ⚽, Corbett C. (A),
  • 49', Tanner R. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Pearson W. ⚽, Lemon A. (A),
  • 60', Beard A. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
  • 60', Stephenson K. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
  • 61', Ulkekul J. ↓, Cassar A. ↑,
  • 65', Galic B. 🟨,
  • 66', Seidl M. 🟨,
  • 68', 0 - 3, Tanner R. ⚽, Hawkesby M. (A),
  • 74', Corbett C. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
  • 79', Brown D. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
  • 86', Sullivan R. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
  • 90+3', 0 - 4, Halmarick S. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Brisbane Roar
65.1%		Draw
19.5%		Sydney FC
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 25.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 24.4% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Roar's performance.
  • Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↓
    (1.74)    		 4.72 ↑
    (3.6)    		 5.99 ↑
    (3.97)    		 8.6%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Brisbane Roar (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 3.
    • Recent performances by Brisbane Roar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sydney is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Brisbane Roar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC were as follows:
    04.02.2026 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 1:3
    02.03.2025 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 3:2
    09.11.2024 Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC 1:0
    22.12.2023 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 1:1
    21.10.2023 Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC 1:0
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    08.02.2026 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 5:2 ✺
    04.02.2026 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 1:3
    30.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 2:2
    23.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Canberra United 3:1
    20.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:1
    Latest results of Sydney FC
    08.02.2026 Sydney FC - Canberra United 1:2
    04.02.2026 Sydney FC - Brisbane Roar 1:3
    31.01.2026 Sydney FC - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:3
    28.01.2026 Perth Glory - Sydney FC 0:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC 0:0
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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