Result
0:4
13/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 17
- Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 9 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (248/355) | 79% (359/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (248/355) | 79% (359/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (21/60) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (57/111) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.04 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Pearson W. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Hawkesby M. ⚽, Corbett C. (A),
- 49', Tanner R. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Pearson W. ⚽, Lemon A. (A),
- 60', Beard A. ↓, Meyers K. ↑,
- 60', Stephenson K. ↓, Miller A. ↑,
- 61', Ulkekul J. ↓, Cassar A. ↑,
- 65', Galic B. 🟨,
- 66', Seidl M. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Tanner R. ⚽, Hawkesby M. (A),
- 74', Corbett C. ↓, Luchtmeijer A. ↑,
- 79', Brown D. ↓, Kinsella A. ↑,
- 86', Sullivan R. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Halmarick S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar 65.1% | Draw 19.5% | Sydney FC 15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Roar's performance.Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.74) |
4.72 ↑ (3.6) |
5.99 ↑ (3.97) |
8.6% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Brisbane Roar (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane Roar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 3.
- Recent performances by Brisbane Roar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sydney is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Brisbane Roar is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Roar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Sydney FC?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney FC won against Brisbane Roar?
Sydney FC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Sydney FC were as follows:
04.02.2026
Sydney FC
-
Brisbane Roar
1:3
02.03.2025
Sydney FC
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
09.11.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney FC
1:0
22.12.2023
Sydney FC
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
21.10.2023
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney FC
1:0
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Sydney FC
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)