Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sydney FC
20.1%
Draw
23.3%
Melbourne Victory
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 23.2% 56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 22.3% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (4.5)
    3.89
    (3.94)
    1.6
    (1.62)
    10.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 0.
    • Sydney is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melbourne Victory's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC 0:0
    24.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC 2:0
    28.12.2024 Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory 0:1
    31.03.2024 Sydney FC - Melbourne Victory 0:4
    26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory - Sydney FC 1:1
    Latest results of Sydney FC
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W ✔ 19114434:191537
    2Wellington Phoenix W1794435:142131
    3Canberra W1893629:22730
    4Adelaide W1893623:21230
    5Melbourne Victory W1874725:22325
    6Brisbane Roar W1874730:36-625
    7Perth W1873818:24-624
    8Central Coast Mariners W1765625:25023
    9Newcastle W18621026:33-720
    10WS Wanderers W19441117:34-1716
    11Sydney W1836916:28-1215

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Melbourne City W is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)