Result
2:0
24/01/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 16
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Cambodia | True Sport 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Laos | True Sport 2 |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (197/292) | 82% (433/527) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/80) | 71% (124/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 8% (2/26) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 56% (15/27) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Klimala P. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Vergos N. ⚽, Teague R. (A),
- 29', Roderick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', De Jesus Z. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
- 63', Ouahim A. 🟨,
- 65', Velupillay N. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 67', Klimala P. ↓, Sotirio J. ↑,
- 67', Segecic A. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
- 75', Santos ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 75', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 86', Valadon J. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
- 86', Hollman C. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Bos K. (A),
- 90+1', Fornaroli B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
45.4% | Draw
24.1% | Sydney
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.16) |
3.93 ↑
(3.76) |
3.09 ↑
(3) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 13.8% – 61.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sydney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Melbourne Victory could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Melbourne Victory will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sydney: Douglas Costa
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27:39 (average 1.4:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney?
Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Sydney were as follows:
28.12.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
26.01.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
1:1
16.12.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
3:0
21.10.2023
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
04.03.2023
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | WS Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
