Result
2:0
24/01/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 16
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Cambodia | True Sport 2 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Laos | True Sport 2 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | True Sport 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.88 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
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36% | 64% |
Goal Attempts |
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11 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 1 |
Shots off Goal |
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4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 15 |
Offsides |
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3 | 6 |
Fouls |
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15 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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16 | 33 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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19 | 16 |
Passes |
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67% (197/292) | 82% (433/527) |
Passes in the final third |
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63% (50/80) | 71% (124/174) |
Crosses |
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22% (2/9) | 8% (2/26) |
Tackles |
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52% (13/25) | 56% (15/27) |
Clearances Total |
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37 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Klimala P. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Vergos N. ⚽, Teague R. (A),
- 29', Roderick 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', De Jesus Z. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
- 63', Ouahim A. 🟨,
- 65', Velupillay N. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 67', Klimala P. ↓, Sotirio J. ↑,
- 67', Segecic A. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
- 75', Santos ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 75', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 86', Valadon J. ↓, Monge F. ↑,
- 86', Hollman C. ↓, Kucharski J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Fornaroli B. ⚽, Bos K. (A),
- 90+1', Fornaroli B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory 45.4% | Draw 24.1% | Sydney 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↓ (2.16) |
3.93 ↑ (3.76) |
3.09 ↑ (3) |
5.7% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Sydney will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 13.8% – 61.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sydney is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Melbourne Victory could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Melbourne Victory will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sydney: Douglas Costa
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27:39 (average 1.4:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney?
Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Sydney were as follows:
28.12.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
26.01.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
1:1
16.12.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
3:0
21.10.2023
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
0:2
04.03.2023
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |