Result
4:0
26/01/2026 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 14
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Select |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 9 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (244/337) | 82% (409/498) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.06 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (244/337) | 82% (409/498) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 26% (10/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (92/149) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 4.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', King J. 🟨,
- 32', Tisserand M. 🟨,
- 39', Genreau D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Vergos N. 🟨,
- 45+5', Grant A. ↓, Courtney-Perkins J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Clarismario ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 54', Clarismario 🟨,
- 56', Wood P. ↓, Macallister M. ↑,
- 56', Tisserand M. ↓, Popovic A. ↑,
- 56', Okon-Engstler P. ↓, Kamijo W. ↑,
- 57', Davidson J. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Clarismario ⚽, Vergos N. (A),
- 68', Genreau D. ↓, Valadon J. ↑,
- 68', Grimaldi M. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
- 70', Kamijo W. 🟨,
- 76', Clarismario ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 0, Jelacic K. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 82', 4 - 0, Jackson L. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 83', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 83', Mata J. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 89', Quintal T. ↓, Alfaro N. ↑,
- 89', Campuzano V. ↓, Akon A. ↑,
- 90+1', Esposito S. ↓, Inserra J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
43.3% | Draw
26.3% | Sydney
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne Victory - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.16) |
3.59 ↑
(3.48) |
3.11 ↑
(3.02) |
5.7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Sydney will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Sydney (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Sydney (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Sydney (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Sydney has had a series of away games.
- Melbourne Victory might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Rawlins J.
(International duty)
Roderick
(Leg Injury)
Valadon J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Inactive)
Lolley J.
(Inactive)
Macallister M.
(International duty)
Toure A.
(Inactive)
Walatee A.
(Inactive)
Youlley R.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Sydney were as follows:
22.11.2025
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
24.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
2:0
28.12.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
26.01.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
1:1
16.12.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
3:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
