Result
07/03/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Sydney
39.6% | Draw
26% | Melbourne Victory
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Sydney - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.41) |
3.64 ↑
(3.4) |
2.74 ↑
(2.65) |
5.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Melbourne Victory?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Sydney?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
26.01.2026
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
4:0
22.11.2025
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
24.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
2:0
28.12.2024
Sydney
-
Melbourne Victory
3:0
26.01.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Sydney
1:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
