Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
05/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.61
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
89
Passes
78% (242/309)82% (328/400)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.180.67
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
89
Touches in opposition box
1930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
78% (242/309)82% (328/400)
Long passes
50% (22/44)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
58% (38/65)70% (112/160)
Crosses
43% (6/14)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.61
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1110
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (15/20)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
3322
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.672.18
Goals prevented
-0.34-2.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, De Rosario O. , Gomez S. (A), Gaffney C. (A2)
  • 27', 2 - 0, Tsukanome Y. , Gomez S. (A),
  • 31', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
  • 32', 3 - 0, De Rosario O. , Tsukanome Y. (A), Lopez A. (A2)
  • 35', 4 - 0, Tsukanome Y. , Gaffney C. (A), Carli E. (A2)
  • 45+2', Carli E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Barrett D. , Arana M. ,
  • 46', Viveros J. , Correa E. ,
  • 46', Gitau L. , Mohammad S. ,
  • 46', Brunell S. , Robles D. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 58', Gomez S. , Diaw B. ,
  • 68', Carli E. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 71', 5 - 0, Khoury J. , Dodzi C. (A),
  • 72', 5 - 1, Rodriguez S. , Correa E. (A),
  • 72', Gyamfi S. , Romero T. ,
  • 75', Burney L. 🟨,
  • 81', Gaffney C. , Veillard E. ,
  • 90+2', Mwakutuya I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
47.6%
Draw
22.9%
Houston Dynamo 2
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 23.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 23.9% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Tacoma Defiance aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.96)
    4.04
    (3.89)
    3.15
    (3.13)
    7.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of home games.
    • Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2
    29.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 2:0
    26.05.2024 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    01.10.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 4:3
    02.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Houston Dynamo 2 1:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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