Los Angeles II vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Titan Stadium (Fullerton, CA).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.22	1.07
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
88% (499/570)	89% (408/461)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.64	2.02
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
26	36
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
5	2
Free Kicks
11	6
Passes
88% (499/570)	89% (408/461)
Long passes
53% (31/59)	56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
75% (120/161)	76% (87/115)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.34	0.82
Throw-ins
15	15
Fouls
6	11
Tackles
65% (17/26)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
53	27
Clearances
12	27
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
2.02	1.64
Goals prevented
-0.98	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Brunell S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Brunell S. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, Khoury J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dellavalle L. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
46', Saldana A. ↓, Moyado B. ↑,
46', Santiago J. ↓, Diaz C. ↑,
67', Diaw B. ↓, Katsaros E. ↑,
67', Khoury J. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
68', Wibowo A. ↓, Walters K. ↑,
68', Aiyenero M. ↓, Lane J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Mihalic T. ⚽, Nava S. (A), Walters K. (A2)
79', 2 - 2, Lane J. ⚽,
80', De Rosario O. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Robles D. ⚽, Brunell S. (A), Kingston P. (A2)
89', Tsukanome Y. ↓, Baer R. ↑,
90+2', Alvarez D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Los Angeles II
43.5%

Draw
23.8%

Tacoma Defiance
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

22.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles II's performance.

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacoma Defiance might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles II than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacoma Defiance could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.4)	3.82 ↓ (3.91)	2.79 ↑ (2.36)	9.9% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles II won 3.
In recent matches, Los Angeles II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tacoma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Los Angeles II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles II won against Tacoma Defiance?

Los Angeles II has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Los Angeles II?

Tacoma Defiance has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

10.04.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 3:2

30.08.2024 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 1:2

20.07.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:5

07.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 2:0

23.07.2023 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

Latest results of Los Angeles II

25.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Minnesota United 2 1:0 ✺

12.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Los Angeles II 2:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Los Angeles II - The Town 1:2 ✺

23.05.2025 Sporting Kansas City II - Los Angeles II 0:3 ✺

14.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Los Angeles II 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	15	10	1	2	2	38:26	34
2	Philadelphia Union II	13	6	4	2	1	28:11	28
3	Chicago Fire II	14	6	2	2	4	27:24	24
4	Toronto FC II	14	6	0	3	5	16:18	21
5	New York City II	15	5	2	2	6	28:31	21
6	New England Revolution II	13	4	4	1	4	19:17	21
7	Cincinnati 2	14	2	5	0	7	13:21	16
8	Columbus Crew 2	13	3	1	2	7	13:24	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	15	8	2	2	3	24:20	30
2	Huntsville	13	5	3	2	3	27:16	23
3	Orlando City B	15	6	1	1	7	21:27	21
4	Crown Legacy	14	3	3	3	5	21:25	18
5	Carolina Core	14	3	2	4	5	19:19	17
6	Inter Miami II	15	4	0	2	9	23:34	14
7	Atlanta United 2	13	2	2	4	5	19:23	14

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	15	9	1	1	4	29:22	30
2	Real Monarchs	12	5	2	3	2	24:19	22
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	15	5	3	0	7	33:30	21
4	Tacoma Defiance	13	6	1	0	6	30:28	20
5	Town FC	12	5	2	1	4	24:14	20
6	Los Angeles FC II	14	5	1	1	7	22:27	18
7	Portland Timbers 2	14	4	1	2	7	22:31	16

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	15	10	1	0	4	29:21	32
2	Colorado Rapids 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:25	24
3	North Texas	15	6	2	1	6	25:30	23
4	Houston Dynamo 2	15	5	3	1	6	21:21	22
5	Austin FC II	14	4	3	3	4	13:15	21
6	Minnesota 2	13	6	0	2	5	22:17	20
7	Sporting Kansas City II	13	0	1	3	9	9:29	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	15	10	1	2	2	38:26	34
2	Chattanooga	15	8	2	2	3	24:20	30
3	Philadelphia Union II	13	6	4	2	1	28:11	28
4	Chicago Fire II	14	6	2	2	4	27:24	24
5	Huntsville	13	5	3	2	3	27:16	23
6	Toronto FC II	14	6	0	3	5	16:18	21
7	Orlando City B	15	6	1	1	7	21:27	21
8	New York City II	15	5	2	2	6	28:31	21
9	New England Revolution II	13	4	4	1	4	19:17	21
10	Crown Legacy	14	3	3	3	5	21:25	18
11	Carolina Core	14	3	2	4	5	19:19	17
12	Cincinnati 2	14	2	5	0	7	13:21	16
13	Inter Miami II	15	4	0	2	9	23:34	14
14	Atlanta United 2	13	2	2	4	5	19:23	14
15	Columbus Crew 2	13	3	1	2	7	13:24	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	15	10	1	0	4	29:21	32
2	Ventura County	15	9	1	1	4	29:22	30
3	Colorado Rapids 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:25	24
4	North Texas	15	6	2	1	6	25:30	23
5	Real Monarchs	12	5	2	3	2	24:19	22
6	Houston Dynamo 2	15	5	3	1	6	21:21	22
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	15	5	3	0	7	33:30	21
8	Austin FC II	14	4	3	3	4	13:15	21
9	Minnesota 2	13	6	0	2	5	22:17	20
10	Tacoma Defiance	13	6	1	0	6	30:28	20
11	Town FC	12	5	2	1	4	24:14	20
12	Los Angeles FC II	14	5	1	1	7	22:27	18
13	Portland Timbers 2	14	4	1	2	7	22:31	16
14	Sporting Kansas City II	13	0	1	3	9	9:29	5

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