Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.92 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 1 |
Passes |
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80% (359/447) | 81% (333/410) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 0.92 |
Total shots |
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12 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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34 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 6 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 7 |
Passes |
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80% (359/447) | 81% (333/410) |
Long passes |
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50% (17/34) | 53% (31/58) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (128/183) | 67% (42/63) |
Crosses |
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29% (7/24) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.57 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
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28 | 23 |
Fouls |
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7 | 13 |
Tackles |
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67% (14/21) | 79% (22/28) |
Duels won |
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54 | 48 |
Clearances |
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11 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.92 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
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-2.08 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Charles I. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. ⚽, Ramirez A. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
- 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
- 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hawkins S. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
- 46', Carli E. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 46', De Rosario O. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
- 57', Brunell S. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
- 61', Leyva D. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. ⚽, Torquato J. (A),
- 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
- 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. ⚽, Burney L. (A),
- 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
- 85', Ramirez A. ↓, Swann C. ↑,
- 85', Contreras J. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
- 88', Sangare F. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance 53.3% | Draw 22.4% | North Texas 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↑ (1.68) |
4.19 ↑ (4.17) |
3.84 ↓ (4.07) |
6.9% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
- Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against North Texas?
Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Tacoma Defiance?
North Texas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
26.10.2024
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
4:1
14.04.2024
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
19.08.2023
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:3
09.07.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
North Texas
3:0
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of North Texas
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 45:32 | 39 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40:14 | 36 |
3 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 34:30 | 30 |
4 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 28:21 | 30 |
5 | New York City II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 33:37 | 25 |
6 | Cincinnati 2 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:23 | 23 |
7 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 20:29 | 22 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17:31 | 13 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 29:26 | 33 |
2 | Huntsville | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 31:19 | 29 |
3 | Orlando City B | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 26:33 | 26 |
4 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 27:34 | 23 |
5 | Carolina Core | 18 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 21 |
6 | Atlanta United 2 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 23:26 | 19 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 30:41 | 18 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Ventura County | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 34:28 | 32 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 39:33 | 28 |
3 | Town FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 34:21 | 27 |
4 | Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29:27 | 26 |
5 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 40:40 | 23 |
6 | Los Angeles FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 27:34 | 23 |
7 | Portland Timbers 2 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 27:33 | 21 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 37:25 | 40 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
3 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 27:27 | 25 |
5 | Austin FC II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | 25 |
6 | Minnesota 2 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28:25 | 24 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:40 | 5 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 18 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 45:32 | 39 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 40:14 | 36 |
3 | Chattanooga | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 29:26 | 33 |
4 | Chicago Fire II | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 34:30 | 30 |
5 | New England Revolution II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 28:21 | 30 |
6 | Huntsville | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 31:19 | 29 |
7 | Orlando City B | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 26:33 | 26 |
8 | New York City II | 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 33:37 | 25 |
9 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 27:34 | 23 |
10 | Cincinnati 2 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16:23 | 23 |
11 | Toronto FC II | 18 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 20:29 | 22 |
12 | Carolina Core | 18 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta United 2 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 23:26 | 19 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 18 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 30:41 | 18 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17:31 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 37:25 | 40 |
2 | Ventura County | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 34:28 | 32 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34:30 | 32 |
4 | North Texas | 18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 32:35 | 29 |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 39:33 | 28 |
6 | Town FC | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 34:21 | 27 |
7 | Real Monarchs | 16 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 29:27 | 26 |
8 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 27:27 | 25 |
9 | Austin FC II | 17 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | 25 |
10 | Minnesota 2 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 28:25 | 24 |
11 | Tacoma Defiance | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 40:40 | 23 |
12 | Los Angeles FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 27:34 | 23 |
13 | Portland Timbers 2 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 27:33 | 21 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:40 | 5 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)