Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/447) | 81% (333/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (359/447) | 81% (333/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (128/183) | 67% (42/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 79% (22/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.08 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Charles I. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. ⚽, Ramirez A. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
- 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
- 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Hawkins S. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
- 46', Carli E. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 46', De Rosario O. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
- 57', Brunell S. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
- 61', Leyva D. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. ⚽, Torquato J. (A),
- 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
- 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. ⚽, Burney L. (A),
- 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
- 85', Ramirez A. ↓, Swann C. ↑,
- 85', Contreras J. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
- 88', Sangare F. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
53.3% | Draw
22.4% | North Texas
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.68) |
4.19 ↑
(4.17) |
3.84 ↓
(4.07) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
- Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against North Texas?
Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Tacoma Defiance?
North Texas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
26.10.2024
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
4:1
14.04.2024
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
19.08.2023
North Texas
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:3
09.07.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
North Texas
3:0
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of North Texas
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire II | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
| 5 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
| 6 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
| 7 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
| 2 | Huntsville | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
| 3 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Town FC | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
| 5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
| 3 | Minnesota 2 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
| 4 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
| 5 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II ✔ | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II ✔ | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
| 4 | Chattanooga ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
| 5 | Huntsville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
| 10 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 11 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 12 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
| 13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 14 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 ✔ | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
| 2 | Town FC ✔ | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
| 4 | Real Monarchs ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
| 6 | Minnesota 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
| 7 | Ventura County ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
| 8 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
| 9 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
| 12 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
