Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.44
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
80% (359/447)	81% (333/410)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.29	0.92
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	5
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
34	14
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	6
Free Kicks
13	7
Passes
80% (359/447)	81% (333/410)
Long passes
50% (17/34)	53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
70% (128/183)	67% (42/63)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.57	0.68
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
67% (14/21)	79% (22/28)
Duels won
54	48
Clearances
11	30
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.92	1.29
Goals prevented
-2.08	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Charles I. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. ⚽, Ramirez A. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hawkins S. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
46', Carli E. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
46', De Rosario O. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
57', Brunell S. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
61', Leyva D. ↓, Dodzi C. ↑,
74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. ⚽, Torquato J. (A),
77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. ⚽, Burney L. (A),
83', Kingston P. 🟨,
85', Ramirez A. ↓, Swann C. ↑,
85', Contreras J. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
88', Sangare F. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
53.3%

Draw
22.4%

North Texas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

22.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	4.19 ↑ (4.17)	3.84 ↓ (4.07)	6.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - North Texas (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 50%). North Texas (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against North Texas?

Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Tacoma Defiance?

North Texas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:

26.10.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 4:1

14.04.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

19.08.2023 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:3

09.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 3:0

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

14.05.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - Tacoma Defiance 5:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2:3 ✺

02.05.2025 Ventura County - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Tacoma Defiance - St. Louis City 2 4:1 ✺

Latest results of North Texas

18.05.2025 North Texas - Houston Dynamo 2 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1 ✺

23.04.2025 North Texas - The Town 2:0 ✺

20.04.2025 North Texas - Colorado Rapids 2 2:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Austin II - North Texas 1:2 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
2	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
3	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
4	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
5	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
6	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
7	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
8	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
3	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
4	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
5	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
6	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
7	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
8	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
3	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
4	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
6	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
7	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
4	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
5	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
7	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
3	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
4	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
5	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
6	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
7	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
8	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
9	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
10	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
11	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
12	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
13	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
14	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
15	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1
16	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
5	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
6	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
7	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
8	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
9	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
11	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
14	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)