Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - North Texas
Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.92
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
137
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Long passes
50% (17/34)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
70% (128/183)67% (42/63)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.68
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
713
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (22/28)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1130
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.921.29
Goals prevented
-2.08-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Charles I. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. , Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
  • 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hawkins S. , Burney L. ,
  • 46', Carli E. , Khoury J. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 57', Brunell S. , Kingston P. ,
  • 61', Leyva D. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. , Torquato J. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. , Burney L. (A),
  • 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramirez A. , Swann C. ,
  • 85', Contreras J. , Baran D. ,
  • 88', Sangare F. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
53.3%
Draw
22.4%
North Texas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 22.8% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.68)
    4.19
    (4.17)
    3.84
    (4.07)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
    26.10.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    14.04.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    19.08.2023 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    09.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 3:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II18623733:3725
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga18833429:2633
    2Huntsville16732431:1929
    3Orlando City B18721826:3326
    4Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    3Town FC15722434:2127
    4Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    5Austin FC II17534520:2125
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II16852140:1436
    3Chattanooga18833429:2633
    4Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    5New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    6Huntsville16732431:1929
    7Orlando City B18721826:3326
    8New York City II18623733:3725
    9Crown Legacy18435627:3423
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4North Texas18821732:3529
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    6Town FC15722434:2127
    7Real Monarchs16543429:2726
    8Houston Dynamo 218631827:2725
    9Austin FC II17534520:2125
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)