Tacoma Defiance vs North Texas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
25/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.92
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
16
Free Kicks
137
Passes
80% (359/447)81% (333/410)
Long passes
50% (17/34)53% (31/58)
Passes in final third
70% (128/183)67% (42/63)
Crosses
29% (7/24)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.68
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
713
Tackles
67% (14/21)79% (22/28)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1130
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.921.29
Goals prevented
-2.08-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Charles I. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Sarver S. , Ramirez A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. , Gomez S. (A), Brunell S. (A2)
  • 43', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
  • 45+3', Leyva D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Hawkins S. , Burney L. ,
  • 46', Carli E. , Khoury J. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 57', Brunell S. , Kingston P. ,
  • 61', Leyva D. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Sangare F. , Torquato J. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 3, Sarver S. (Pen),
  • 79', 2 - 3, Yamada K. , Burney L. (A),
  • 83', Kingston P. 🟨,
  • 85', Ramirez A. , Swann C. ,
  • 85', Contreras J. , Baran D. ,
  • 88', Sangare F. 🟥,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
53.3%
Draw
22.4%
North Texas
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.2% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 22.8% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - North Texas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.68)
    4.19
    (4.17)
    3.84
    (4.07)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - North Texas?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - North Texas (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 50%). North Texas (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Recent performances by Tacoma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • North Texas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tacoma is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - North Texas were as follows:
    26.10.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    14.04.2024 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    19.08.2023 North Texas - Tacoma Defiance 2:3
    09.07.2023 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 3:0
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of North Texas
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)