Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.64
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
93% (550/591)84% (330/395)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.17
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
103
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1733
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
93% (550/591)84% (330/395)
Long passes
58% (22/38)56% (22/39)
Passes in final third
89% (89/100)64% (72/112)
Crosses
15% (2/13)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.24
Throw-ins
1317
Fouls
1116
Tackles
86% (6/7)43% (6/14)
Duels won
3034
Clearances
2512
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.171.79
Goals prevented
-0.83-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Santos N. , Jura S. (A), Linhares K. (A2)
  • 12', 1 - 1, Tsukanome Y. ,
  • 18', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 42', Khoury J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvarez D. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 46', Khoury J. , Hassan O. ,
  • 52', Yamada K. 🟨,
  • 54', Yamada K. 🟨,
  • 56', McGraw Z. 🟨,
  • 57', Carli E. , Robles D. ,
  • 59', Santos N. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Linhares K. , Pope B. (A), Velazquez V. (A2)
  • 65', Moreno A. , Izoita E. ,
  • 65', Marquinhos , Nunez D. ,
  • 67', Tsukanome Y. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 72', Hassan O. 🟨,
  • 73', Santos N. , Bunbury M. ,
  • 73', Velazquez V. , Johnston M. ,
  • 83', Sousa T. , Diaw B. ,
  • 86', Linhares K. , Gallardo S. ,

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers 2
41.8%
Draw
21.8%
Tacoma Defiance
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 21.9% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 20.8% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.97)
    4.31
    (4.15)
    2.58
    (2.86)
    6.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Portland 2 (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Portland 2 (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Portland 2 (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
    • Recent performances by Portland 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:40. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2
    18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1
    08.09.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 5:2
    30.06.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:0
    10.05.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 4:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)