The Town vs Tacoma Defiance – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

PayPal Park (San Jose, CA).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.92
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
86% (429/496)	81% (294/364)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	0.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.66	0.44
Total shots
9	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
3	10
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
15	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
86% (429/496)	81% (294/364)
Long passes
53% (31/58)	38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
71% (103/145)	79% (81/103)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	1.02
Throw-ins
28	18
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
80% (8/10)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
33	43
Clearances
12	32
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.44	0.66
Goals prevented
0.44	0.66

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', Adimabua N. 🟥,
45+4', 0 - 1, Gaffney C. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Dodzi C. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
51', Lopez A. 🟨,
57', Ricketts J. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez M. ↓, Lynch R. ↑,
59', Cowell C. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
59', Fernandez N. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
63', Gaffney C. ↓, Veillard E. ↑,
71', Spivey K. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
74', Carli E. ↓, Pedder R. ↑,
82', Ibarra R. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
86', Medina C. 🟨,
90+4', Veillard E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

The Town
67%

Draw
18.1%

Tacoma Defiance
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

17.7%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tacoma Defiance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The Town - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	5.1 ↑ (5)	6.15 ↑ (5.57)	8.7% (9.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

Preview Facts

The Town is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
The Town has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tacoma is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tacoma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, The Town is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 2.2:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Tacoma Defiance?

The Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against The Town?

Tacoma Defiance has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between The Town - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

03.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 5:4

14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1

25.08.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

11.06.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

25.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:2

Latest results of The Town

21.09.2025 Ventura County - The Town 0:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

06.09.2025 The Town - Portland Timbers 2 3:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - The Town 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 The Town - Real Monarchs 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

21.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Colorado Rapids 2 1:4 ✺

17.09.2025 Houston Dynamo 2 - Tacoma Defiance 1:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.09.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 1:3 ✺

31.08.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 3:0 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2026

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
2	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
3	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
4	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
5	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
6	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
7	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
8	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
3	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
4	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
5	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
6	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
7	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
8	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
3	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
4	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
6	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
7	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
4	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
5	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
6	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
7	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crown Legacy	4	4	0	0	0	17:3	12
2	New England Revolution II	4	2	2	0	0	5:2	10
3	New York Red Bulls II	4	2	0	2	0	9:4	8
4	Columbus Crew 2	4	2	1	0	1	7:6	8
5	Philadelphia Union II	4	2	1	0	1	4:3	8
6	Orlando City B	4	2	1	0	1	10:10	8
7	Atlanta United 2	4	2	0	1	1	7:6	7
8	Chicago Fire II	4	1	2	0	1	4:4	7
9	Connecticut FC	4	2	0	0	2	7:8	6
10	Huntsville	4	1	1	0	2	8:14	5
11	Toronto FC II	4	1	0	1	2	7:4	4
12	Chattanooga	4	1	0	1	2	8:10	4
13	New York City II	3	0	1	1	1	1:6	3
14	Inter Miami II	4	0	0	2	2	5:11	2
15	Carolina Core	3	0	0	1	2	3:5	1
16	Cincinnati 2	4	0	0	0	4	2:8	0

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Houston Dynamo 2	4	4	0	0	0	13:0	12
2	St. Louis City 2	4	3	1	0	0	12:4	11
3	Real Monarchs	4	2	2	0	0	12:6	10
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	4	2	0	1	1	9:4	7
5	Austin FC II	4	2	0	1	1	6:6	7
6	Ventura County	4	1	2	0	1	8:7	7
7	Minnesota 2	4	2	0	0	2	6:7	6
8	Portland Timbers 2	4	1	1	1	1	2:6	6
9	North Texas	4	1	0	1	2	5:6	4
10	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	4	1	0	1	2	6:8	4
11	Los Angeles FC 2	4	0	1	2	1	7:10	4
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	0	1	1	2	2:7	3
13	Sporting Kansas City II	4	0	1	0	3	2:12	2
14	Colorado Rapids 2	4	0	0	1	3	4:11	1

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