Tacoma Defiance vs The Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Starfire Sports (Tukwila, WA).

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Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	1.92
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
82% (381/463)	86% (379/442)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48	1.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.02	1.88
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
7	6
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
42	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
82% (381/463)	86% (379/442)
Long passes
56% (32/57)	55% (39/71)
Passes in final third
74% (91/123)	73% (75/103)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	2.10
Throw-ins
17	18
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
90% (19/21)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
54	40
Clearances
15	25
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
1.88	3.02
Goals prevented
-1.12	-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Kingston P. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Adimabua N. (A),
30', Spivey K. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Brunell S. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Baker C. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
46', Leyva D. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, De Rosario O. (Own goal),
58', 3 - 2, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A), Baker-Whiting R. (A2)
62', Spivey K. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
62', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
62', Cowell C. ↓, Walwyn-Bent K. ↑,
62', Minoungou G. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
71', Eisner W. 🟨,
72', De Rosario O. (Pen),
73', Mbumba A. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
73', Adimabua N. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
78', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Eisner W. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
87', Hassan O. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 4, Donnery J. ⚽, Baptista D. (A), Rodriguez M. (A2)
90+6', 4 - 4, Kingston P. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A), Gaffney C. (A2)
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Kingston P. (Pen),
1, Donnery J. (Pen),
2, Gomez S. (Pen),
2, Medina C. (Pen),
3, Yamada K. (Pen),
3, Eisner W. (Pen),
4, Gaffney C. (Pen),
4, Baptista D. (Pen),
5, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Tacoma Defiance
54.4%

Draw
22%

The Town
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

22.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

23.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.

The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacoma Defiance - The Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)	4.17 ↑ (4.02)	3.88 ↑ (2.84)	9.2% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - The Town?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The Town will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
The Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, The Town has had a series of away games.
Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against The Town?

Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Tacoma Defiance?

The Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - The Town were as follows:

14.03.2025 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:1

25.08.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

11.06.2024 The Town - Tacoma Defiance 2:1

25.04.2024 Tacoma Defiance - The Town 3:2

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

29.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Tacoma Defiance 2:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Real Monarchs - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

18.05.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:1 ✺

Latest results of The Town

29.06.2025 The Town - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 The Town - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Postponed ✺

01.06.2025 Los Angeles II - The Town 1:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - The Town 0:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
4	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
5	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
6	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
7	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
8	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
2	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
3	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
4	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
5	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
6	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
7	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
2	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
3	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
4	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
5	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
6	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
7	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
3	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
4	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
5	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
6	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
7	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
4	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
5	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
6	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
7	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
8	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
9	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
10	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
11	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
12	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
13	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
14	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
3	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
4	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
6	Town FC	15	7	2	2	4	34:21	27
7	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
8	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
9	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
10	Minnesota 2	17	7	0	3	7	28:25	24
11	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
12	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
13	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21
14	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

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