Result
5:4 penalties
03/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/463) | 86% (379/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (381/463) | 86% (379/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 55% (39/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (91/123) | 73% (75/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 2.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kingston P. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Adimabua N. (A),
- 30', Spivey K. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 1, Brunell S. ⚽, Kingston P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Baker C. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
- 46', Leyva D. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 2, De Rosario O. (Own goal),
- 58', 3 - 2, Tsukanome Y. ⚽, Minoungou G. (A), Baker-Whiting R. (A2)
- 62', Spivey K. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
- 62', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
- 62', Cowell C. ↓, Walwyn-Bent K. ↑,
- 62', Minoungou G. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
- 71', Eisner W. 🟨,
- 72', De Rosario O. (Pen),
- 73', Mbumba A. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
- 73', Adimabua N. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
- 78', De Rosario O. ↓, Khoury J. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 3, Eisner W. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
- 87', Hassan O. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 4, Donnery J. ⚽, Baptista D. (A), Rodriguez M. (A2)
- 90+6', 4 - 4, Kingston P. ⚽, Tsukanome Y. (A), Gaffney C. (A2)
- Penalties (5 - 3)
- 1, Kingston P. (Pen),
- 1, Donnery J. (Pen),
- 2, Gomez S. (Pen),
- 2, Medina C. (Pen),
- 3, Yamada K. (Pen),
- 3, Eisner W. (Pen),
- 4, Gaffney C. (Pen),
- 4, Baptista D. (Pen),
- 5, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tacoma Defiance
54.4% | Draw
22% | The Town
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacoma Defiance's performance.The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacoma Defiance that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tacoma Defiance - The Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.02) |
4.17 ↑
(4.02) |
3.88 ↑
(2.84) |
9.2%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tacoma Defiance - The Town?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tacoma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The Town will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tacoma (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 11)
- In recent matches, Tacoma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- The Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, The Town has had a series of away games.
- Tacoma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against The Town?
Tacoma Defiance has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Town won against Tacoma Defiance?
The Town has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - The Town were as follows:
14.03.2025
Tacoma Defiance
-
The Town
3:1
25.08.2024
The Town
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
11.06.2024
The Town
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:1
25.04.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
The Town
3:2
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Latest results of The Town
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 53:46 | 45 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 45:21 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 54:36 | 41 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 37:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Toronto FC II | 22 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26:34 | 31 |
| 6 | New York City II | 21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 40:43 | 29 |
| 7 | Cincinnati 2 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 23:28 | 29 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 22:43 | 14 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Huntsville | 20 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 44:23 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 34:33 | 38 |
| 3 | Orlando City B | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 29:43 | 27 |
| 4 | Carolina Core | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | 27 |
| 5 | Crown Legacy | 21 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 33:43 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Miami II | 21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 34:47 | 22 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | 22 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Town FC | 19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 48:26 | 39 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 21 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 43:38 | 37 |
| 3 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 32 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 44:42 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 50:51 | 27 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 32:38 | 25 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC II | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 33:45 | 23 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 50:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 3 | Austin FC II | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 27:27 | 32 |
| 4 | Minnesota 2 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 5 | North Texas | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 35:43 | 31 |
| 6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 29:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20:49 | 11 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 22 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 53:46 | 45 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II | 21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 45:21 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire II | 21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 54:36 | 41 |
| 4 | Huntsville | 20 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 44:23 | 40 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 37:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Chattanooga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 34:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 22 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 26:34 | 31 |
| 8 | New York City II | 21 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 40:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Cincinnati 2 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 23:28 | 29 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 29:43 | 27 |
| 11 | Carolina Core | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | 27 |
| 12 | Crown Legacy | 21 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 33:43 | 26 |
| 13 | Inter Miami II | 21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 34:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Atlanta United 2 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | 22 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 22:43 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | St. Louis City 2 | 22 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 50:30 | 51 |
| 2 | Town FC | 19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 48:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 22 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 21 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 43:38 | 37 |
| 5 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 32 |
| 6 | Austin FC II | 21 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 27:27 | 32 |
| 7 | Minnesota 2 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 34:34 | 31 |
| 8 | North Texas | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 35:43 | 31 |
| 9 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 44:42 | 28 |
| 10 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 50:51 | 27 |
| 11 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 29:35 | 26 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers 2 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 32:38 | 25 |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC II | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 33:45 | 23 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 20:49 | 11 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
