Talavera de la Reina vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
510
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 34', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. , Gomez V. (A),
  • 67', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 68', Balboa A. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 68', Merino J. , Reniero N. ,
  • 68', Pastrana V. , Presa K. ,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Garriz I. ,
  • 71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Farrando M. ,
  • 72', Gomez V. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 79', Samanes S. , Alba T. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
36.1%
Draw
31.9%
Lugo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 31% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.6% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.3)
    2.9
    (2.9)
    2.9
    (3)
    8.3%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Lugo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    06.09.2025 Lugo - Real Avilés 0:0
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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