Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
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| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 34', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Navarro I. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 67', Roig A. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
- 68', Balboa A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 68', Merino J. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
- 68', Pastrana V. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Garriz I. ↑,
- 71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
- 72', Gomez V. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
- 79', Samanes S. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina 36.1% | Draw 31.9% | Lugo 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Talavera de la Reina - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.3) |
2.9 (2.9) |
2.9 ↓ (3) |
8.3% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Lugo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Lugo?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Lugo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Lugo were as follows:
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation