Talavera de la Reina vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
510
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 34', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. , Gomez V. (A),
  • 67', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 68', Balboa A. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 68', Merino J. , Reniero N. ,
  • 68', Pastrana V. , Presa K. ,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Garriz I. ,
  • 71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Farrando M. ,
  • 72', Gomez V. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 79', Samanes S. , Alba T. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
36.1%
Draw
31.9%
Lugo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 31% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.6% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.3)
    2.9
    (2.9)
    2.9
    (3)
    8.3%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Lugo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    06.09.2025 Lugo - Real Avilés 0:0
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation