Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
- 34', Navarro I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Navarro I. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. ⚽, Gomez V. (A),
- 67', Roig A. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
- 68', Balboa A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 68', Merino J. ↓, Reniero N. ↑,
- 68', Pastrana V. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Garriz I. ↑,
- 71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
- 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↓, Farrando M. ↑,
- 72', Gomez V. ↓, Arroyo N. ↑,
- 79', Samanes S. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Talavera de la Reina 36.1% | Draw 31.9% | Lugo 32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Talavera de la Reina - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.3) |
2.9 (2.9) |
2.9 ↓ (3) |
8.3% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Lugo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Talavera de la Reina won against Lugo?
Talavera de la Reina has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Talavera de la Reina?
Lugo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Lugo were as follows:
Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation