Talavera de la Reina vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
510
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
  • 34', Navarro I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Navarro I. , Capo P. ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Di Renzo G. , Gomez V. (A),
  • 67', Roig A. , Cuenca D. ,
  • 68', Balboa A. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 68', Merino J. , Reniero N. ,
  • 68', Pastrana V. , Presa K. ,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Garriz I. ,
  • 71', Gallardo Rodriguez E. 🟨,
  • 72', Gallardo Rodriguez E. , Farrando M. ,
  • 72', Gomez V. , Arroyo N. ,
  • 79', Samanes S. , Alba T. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
36.1%
Draw
31.9%
Lugo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 31% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 31.6% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.3)
    2.9
    (2.9)
    2.9
    (3)
    8.3%
    (11.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Lugo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    06.09.2025 Lugo - Real Avilés 0:0
    21.08.2025 UD Ourense - Lugo 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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