Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme United U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:4
01/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
610
Corner kicks
38
Total shots
1421
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
811
Corner kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Gusarov A. , Ilves R. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, De Pizzol O. , Mihhailov V. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Saarnak J. , Krasnov I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 53', 2 - 2, Kaspar A. ,
  • 55', 2 - 3, Rei H. ,
  • 58', 2 - 4, Saarnak J. ,
  • 63', 3 - 4, Kirt A. , Mihhailov V. (A),
  • 79', 4 - 4, Rei H. (Own goal),

Chances of winning


Tallinna Kalev
48.2%
Draw
21.6%
Nõmme United U21
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 23.4% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 22.9% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tallinna Kalev's performance.
  • Nõmme United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tallinna Kalev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tallinna Kalev - Nõmme United U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.46)
    4.2
    (3.88)
    3
    (2.29)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Latest results of Nõmme United U21
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

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          Esiliiga (Relegation)
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