Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
8:7
08/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Action
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandTVP Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4228
Shots off target
1016
Shooting PCT
19.05% (8/42)25% (7/28)
Blocked shots
615
Goalkeeper Saves
2134
Saves PCT
75% (21/28)80.95% (34/42)
Penalties
1117
PIM
4555
Power-play Goals
41
Shorthanded Goals
10
Power-play PCT
23.53% (4/17)9.09% (1/11)
Pen. Killing PCT
90.91% (10/11)76.47% (13/17)
Hits
2541
Faceoffs Won
3232
Faceoffs %
5050
Giveaways
1712
Takeaways
32
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:36, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 04:36, Raddysh D. (5 min),
  • 04:36, Dahlin R. (5 min),
  • 04:36, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 08:20, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 08:26, 1 - 0, Doan J. (G), Thompson T. (A), Byram B. (A2)
  • 08:54, Carrick S. (5 min),
  • 08:54, Sabourin S. (5 min),
  • 09:13, Byram B. (2 min),
  • 09:13, Krebs P. (5 min),
  • 09:13, Hagel B. (5 min),
  • 09:13, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 10:40, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 10:40, Samuelsson M. (2 min),
  • 14:59, Kesselring M. (2 min),
  • 14:59, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 16:41, Ostlund N. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (3 - 4)
  • 00:02, Kesselring M. (5 min),
  • 00:02, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 00:06, Malenstyn B. (5 min),
  • 00:06, Perry C. (5 min),
  • 01:31, McDonagh R. (2 min),
  • 02:15, 2 - 0, Zucker J. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
  • 03:35, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 05:10, 3 - 0, Tuch A. (G), Thompson T. (A), Ostlund N. (A2)
  • 07:55, 3 - 1, Perry C. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 10:56, Power O. (2 min),
  • 11:06, 4 - 1, Tuch A. (G), Byram B. (A),
  • 12:26, 4 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A),
  • 14:46, 4 - 3, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 17:37, 4 - 4, Moser J.J. (G), Geekie C. (A),
  • 3rd Period (4 - 3)
  • 00:59, 4 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 05:46, 4 - 6, Point B. (G),
  • 06:12, 5 - 6, Carrick S. (G), Benson Z. (A), Kesselring M. (A2)
  • 09:48, 5 - 7, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 11:03, 6 - 7, Dahlin R. (G), Thompson T. (A), Byram B. (A2)
  • 14:29, 7 - 7, Zucker J. (G), McLeod R. (A),
  • 15:03, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 15:43, 8 - 7, Doan J. (G), Zucker J. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
  • 20:00, Cirelli A. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Buffalo Sabres
36.9%		Draw
23%		Tampa Bay Lightning
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 22.2% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 21.5% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1%)
    •

    Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.58 ↓
    (2.75)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.36)    		 2.38 ↑
    (2.28)    		 5%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • H/A, 2nd Period - Buffalo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 2 - 50%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 2.
    • Buffalo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Lower-Body Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Lilleberg E. (Face Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Buffalo: Kozak T. (Injury)
    • We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 2.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 68:80. (average 3.4:4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 3.2:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6
    03.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 4:3
    13.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 7:4
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    06.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 6:5
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    07.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Nashville Predators 3:2 ✺
    05.03.2026 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 1:5 ✺
    03.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Vegas Golden Knights 3:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6 ✺
    27.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    07.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5 ✺
    05.03.2026 Winnipeg Jets - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:1 ✺
    03.03.2026 Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:1 ✺
    28.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6 ✺
    26.02.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4 ✺
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