Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:3 OT
03/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Hulu
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3526
Shots off target
1413
Shooting PCT
11.43% (4/35)11.54% (3/26)
Blocked shots
1010
Goalkeeper Saves
2331
Saves PCT
88.46% (23/26)88.57% (31/35)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
Hits
2613
Faceoffs Won
3130
Faceoffs %
50.8249.18
Giveaways
1522
Takeaways
69
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:10, Ostlund N. (2 min),
  • 10:24, 1 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Guentzel J. (A),
  • 10:35, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 13:55, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 16:53, 1 - 1, Samuelsson M. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 2)
  • 04:08, 1 - 2, Samuelsson M. (G), McLeod R. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
  • 07:33, Byram B. (2 min),
  • 08:53, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 12:55, Douglas C. (2 min),
  • 14:53, 2 - 3, Doan J. (G), Thompson T. (A), Dahlin R. (A2)
  • 19:35, 3 - 3, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:45, 4 - 3, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
51.3%		Draw
21.4%		Buffalo Sabres
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 20.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 21.3% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (1.91)    		 4.48 ↓
    (4.72)    		 3.46 ↑
    (3.39)    		 5%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 15.4% – 84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 60%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Tampa Bay (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Tampa Bay (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: D'Astous C. (Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Bryson J. (Upper-Body Injury) Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Dunne J. (Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems) Luukkonen U. (Lower-Body Injury) Norris J. (Ribs Injury) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Buffalo: Greenway J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 81:63. (average 4.1:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 7:4
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    06.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 6:5
    15.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:4
    29.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:3
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    01.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins 6:5 ✺
    29.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Winnipeg Jets 4:1 ✺
    26.01.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Utah Mammoth 2:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:5 ✺
    23.01.2026 Chicago Blackhawks - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    02.02.2026 Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres 3:5 ✺
    31.01.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Montreal Canadiens 2:4 ✺
    29.01.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Los Angeles Kings 4:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:7 ✺
    24.01.2026 New York Islanders - Buffalo Sabres 0:5 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5534399212:13883
    2Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    3Dallas Stars57286914193:16077
    4Vegas Golden Knights572071416191:17968
    5Utah Mammoth57237423183:15764
    6Edmonton Oilers58217822198:19464
    7Seattle Kraken56216920162:16563
    8Anaheim Ducks561812323185:19563
    9Los Angeles Kings561491419146:16160
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    13Winnipeg Jets56202826160:17552
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks57126633149:21042


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning55289414199:14078
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    6Buffalo Sabres57266619195:17670
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    10Washington Capitals59245723189:17765
    11Toronto Maple Leafs57198921188:19463
    12Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    13Philadelphia Flyers561871120167:18061
    14Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    15New Jersey Devils571810227146:17558
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy