Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres
Result
7:4
13/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3125
Shots off target
3116
Shooting PCT
22.58% (7/31)16% (4/25)
Blocked Shots
912
Goalkeeper Saves
2124
Saves PCT
84% (21/25)77.42% (24/31)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)50% (1/2)
Hits
1316
Faceoffs Won
3633
Faceoffs %
52.1747.83
Giveaways
1417
Takeaways
83
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 16:35, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
  • 19:37, 1 - 1, Kulich J. (G), Thompson T. (A),
  • 19:52, 1 - 2, Clifton C. (G), Krebs P. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (4 - 0)
  • 03:02, 2 - 2, McDonagh R. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
  • 06:34, 3 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Hedman V. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
  • 14:21, 4 - 2, Geekie C. (G), Goncalves G. (A), Paul N. (A2)
  • 16:45, 5 - 2, Lilleberg E. (G), Chaffee M. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
  • 18:41, Bernard-Docker J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 2)
  • 02:39, 6 - 2, Kucherov N. (G),
  • 06:58, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 08:08, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 08:39, 6 - 3, Tuch A. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Peterka J. (A2)
  • 12:26, Peterka J. (2 min),
  • 13:12, 7 - 3, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Paul N. (A2)
  • 18:23, 7 - 4, Lafferty S. (G), Dahlin R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
59.8%		Draw
18.8%		Buffalo Sabres
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 19.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 18.4% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↓
    (1.7)    		 5.03 ↑
    (4.84)    		 4.41 ↑
    (3.93)    		 5.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
    •
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Buffalo (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Tampa Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Buffalo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tampa Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Glendening L. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Greenway J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kozak T. (Lower-Body Injury) Norris J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 79:63 (average 4:3.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 42:31 (average 4.2:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    06.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 6:5
    15.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:4
    29.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:3
    20.01.2024 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    11.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings 3:4 ✺
    09.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    07.04.2025 New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:5 ✺
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
    03.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    12.04.2025 Florida Panthers - Buffalo Sabres 3:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - Buffalo Sabres 3:2 ✺
    08.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Carolina Hurricanes 3:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 6:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
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