Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 OT
20/11/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 2
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3523
Shots off target
1012
Shooting PCT
5.71% (2/35)4.35% (1/23)
Blocked Shots
1019
Goalkeeper Saves
2233
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)94.29% (33/35)
Penalties
35
PIM
921
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (5/5)
Hits
2917
Faceoffs Won
2331
Faceoffs %
42.5957.41
Giveaways
1714
Takeaways
35
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:32, 0 - 1, Frederic T. (G), Draisaitl L. (A),
  • 02:13, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 13:01, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 13:01, Nurse D. (5 min),
  • 13:01, Nurse D. (2 min),
  • 19:59, Regula A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 09:28, Kulak B. (2 min),
  • 15:36, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:28, 1 - 1, Paul N. (G), Moser J.J. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 01:43, 2 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
46.5%
Draw
21.7%
Edmonton Oilers
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 21.9% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 21.7% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • Edmonton Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edmonton Oilers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edmonton Oilers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.3)
    4.44
    (4.31)
    2.93
    (2.55)
    4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Edmonton will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Tampa Bay (3.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 9, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 8.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 7.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Edmonton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Edmonton has had a series of away games.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Edmonton: Kapanen K. (Lower-Body Injury) Lazar C. (Upper-Body Injury) Nugent-Hopkins R. (Injury) Philp N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Injury)
    • We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:22. (average 4.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers 4:1
    10.12.2024 Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    14.12.2023 Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:7
    18.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers 6:4
    19.01.2023 Edmonton Oilers - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3
    NHL Table
    Main

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    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights582171416197:18370
    5Anaheim Ducks571912323191:20065
    6Utah Mammoth58237424185:16164
    7Edmonton Oilers59217823203:20064
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings571491420150:16760
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
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    13Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
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    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks58126733151:21343


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )