Tampa Bay Lightning vs Columbus Blue Jackets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
10/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 3
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1731
Shots off target
1112
Shooting PCT
11.76% (2/17)16.13% (5/31)
Blocked shots
158
Goalkeeper Saves
2615
Saves PCT
86.67% (26/30)88.24% (15/17)
Penalties
65
PIM
1513
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)33.33% (2/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (4/6)100% (5/5)
Hits
2921
Faceoffs Won
3124
Faceoffs %
56.3643.64
Giveaways
1117
Takeaways
29
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 07:19, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 10:58, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
  • 13:38, 1 - 0, Goncalves G. (G), Hedman V. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 13:50, Marchenko K. (2 min),
  • 19:10, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 19:10, Moser J.J. (5 min),
  • 19:10, Sillinger C. (5 min),
  • 19:10, Sillinger C. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 05:57, 1 - 1, Provorov I. (G), Mateychuk D. (A), Coyle C. (A2)
  • 06:27, 1 - 2, Garland C. (G), Johnson K. (A), Monahan S. (A2)
  • 10:05, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 11:42, 1 - 3, Marchenko K. (G), Fantilli A. (A), Werenski Z. (A2)
  • 11:59, Heinen D. (2 min),
  • 14:02, Jenner B. (2 min),
  • 16:23, 2 - 3, Moser J.J. (G), Cirelli A. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 02:36, Guentzel J. (2 min),
  • 03:59, 2 - 4, Garland C. (G), Monahan S. (A), Werenski Z. (A2)
  • 15:25, 2 - 5, Fabbro D. (G), Merzlikins E. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
56.8%
Draw
20.2%
Columbus Blue Jackets
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 21.2% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 20.4% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Columbus Blue Jackets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Blue Jackets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.72)
    4.66
    (4.47)
    4.07
    (3.97)
    6%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tampa Bay Lightning will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Recent form of Tampa Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Columbus has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tampa Bay is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Lilleberg E. (Face Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Smith B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Goncalves G. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 82:62. (average 4.1:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:21. (average 4.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:5
    18.10.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    04.03.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets 6:2
    17.12.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Columbus Blue Jackets 5:3
    21.11.2024 Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning 7:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2