Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators
09/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
47.9%
Draw
22.1%
Ottawa Senators
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 21.4% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 20.7% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.02)
    4.27
    (4.4)
    3.12
    (2.96)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ottawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:67. (average 3.5:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 3.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    06.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 5:1
    04.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 4:3
    19.10.2024 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4
    11.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 2:3
    Latest results of Ottawa Senators
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    11Ottawa Senators000000:00
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