Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
09/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2534
Shots off target
1312
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)14.71% (5/34)
Blocked Shots
1018
Goalkeeper Saves
2921
Saves PCT
87.88% (29/33)84% (21/25)
Penalties
87
PIM
2220
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
28.57% (2/7)12.5% (1/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
87.5% (7/8)71.43% (5/7)
Hits
4951
Faceoffs Won
2530
Faceoffs %
45.4554.55
Giveaways
1613
Takeaways
42
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (3 - 1)
  • 02:26, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 02:26, MacDermid K. (5 min),
  • 04:45, Cozens D. (2 min),
  • 05:35, 1 - 0, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Point B. (A2)
  • 07:00, 2 - 0, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 09:10, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 10:18, 2 - 1, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
  • 12:34, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 12:34, Chabot T. (2 min),
  • 12:34, Tkachuk B. (2 min),
  • 12:34, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 12:38, Lilleberg E. (5 min),
  • 12:38, Sebrango D. (5 min),
  • 12:58, Perron D. (2 min),
  • 14:46, 3 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hedman V. (A), Point B. (A2)
  • 15:19, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:42, 3 - 2, Zub A. (G), Tkachuk B. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
  • 07:53, Chaffee M. (2 min),
  • 15:09, 3 - 3, Pinto S. (G), Zub A. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
  • 18:31, Chaffee M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:23, Zub A. (2 min),
  • 18:13, 3 - 4, Pinto S. (G), Sanderson J. (A),
  • 19:12, 3 - 5, Giroux C. (G), Pinto S. (A), Zub A. (A2)
  • 19:46, 4 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Hedman V. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
48.9%
Draw
21.9%
Ottawa Senators
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 21.4% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 20.7% 30.9%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.94
(2.02)
4.32
(4.4)
3.2
(2.96)
5.9%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ottawa will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Ottawa (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Tampa Bay (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 50%). Ottawa (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
    • Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ottawa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Ottawa: Batherson D. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ottawa: Kleven T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 69:67. (average 3.5:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 3.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    06.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 5:1
    04.02.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 4:3
    19.10.2024 Ottawa Senators - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4
    11.04.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators 2:3
    Latest results of Ottawa Senators
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