Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (264/320) | 83% (320/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (264/320) | 83% (320/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/127) | 71% (65/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 65', Pacius W. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
- 69', Tregarthen S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
- 69', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 69', Kavita P. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 2, Trejo D. ⚽, Preston T. (A),
- 78', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 79', Pasher T. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 89', Trejo D. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Niyongabire P. ⚽, Mustali E. (A),
- 90+5', Preston T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Lasso F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
54.5% | Draw
24.2% | Birmingham Legion
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(2.06) |
3.84 ↑
(3.4) |
4.36 ↑
(3.31) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
- Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
11.09.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:0
11.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
08.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
6:4
21.10.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:3
15.07.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
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