Result
1:4
17/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/398) | 83% (398/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/398) | 83% (398/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/88) | 61% (63/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, McCartney D. ⚽, Daley A. (A),
- 38', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Castellanos R. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
- 58', Martinez E. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
- 58', McCartney D. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
- 68', 1 - 2, Marie P. ⚽, Bodily B. (A),
- 75', Vassell P. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 77', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
- 84', Bodily B. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 84', Pacius W. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Marie P. ⚽,
- 90+1', Marie P. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
- 90+2', Arteaga M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Rufe J. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 4, Alvarez L. ⚽, Skinner J. (A),
Chances of winning
Birmingham Legion
42.6% | Draw
27.4% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19
(2.19) |
3.4 ↓
(3.44) |
3.1 ↑
(2.99) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
- Birmingham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
03.05.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
2:2
11.09.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:0
11.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
08.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
6:4
21.10.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:3
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
