Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (264/320) | 83% (320/387) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.36 | 1.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.40 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 26 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (264/320) | 83% (320/387) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (21/42) | 46% (21/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (92/127) | 71% (65/92) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (6/15) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 1.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (10/16) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 31 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 1.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.48 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 65', Pacius W. ↓, Wyke L. ↑,
- 69', Tregarthen S. ↓, McIllhatton S. ↑,
- 69', Damus R. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 69', Kavita P. ↓, Suarez S. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Martinez E. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 2, Trejo D. ⚽, Preston T. (A),
- 78', Fernandes L. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
- 79', Pasher T. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
- 89', Trejo D. ↓, Turnbull S. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Niyongabire P. ⚽, Mustali E. (A),
- 90+5', Preston T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- 90+6', Lasso F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies 54.5% | Draw 24.2% | Birmingham Legion 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Rowdies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham Legion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (2.06) |
3.84 ↑ (3.4) |
4.36 ↑ (3.31) |
7.7% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 1.
- Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tampa Bay is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Birmingham Legion?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
11.09.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:0
11.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:1
08.05.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
6:4
21.10.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Birmingham Legion
0:3
15.07.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1:0
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
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