Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Segra Field (Leesburg, VA).

USL Championship
Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	1.90
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
14	1
Passes
84% (371/441)	75% (215/286)
Yellow Cards
4	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	1.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.53	1.09
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
8	9
Blocked Shots
8	2
Shots inside the Box
18	10
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
14	1
Touches in opposition box
43	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
19	10
Passes
84% (371/441)	75% (215/286)
Long passes
53% (31/58)	35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
72% (99/138)	61% (43/71)
Crosses
17% (5/30)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	1.07
Throw-ins
19	17
Fouls
10	19
Tackles
64% (7/11)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
11	33
Interceptions
10	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.09	1.53
Goals prevented
-0.91	-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Guillen A. 🟨,
14', Marie P. 🟨,
37', Bodily B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', Awuah K. 🟨,
56', 0 - 1, Arteaga M. (Pen),
58', Santos P. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
58', Mines B. ↓, Aboukoura A. ↑,
63', Glasgow O. 🟨,
66', Ordonez A. 🟨,
67', Ordonez A. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
76', Wyke L. 🟨,
80', Lasso F. 🟨,
89', Dambrot R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
90+6', 2 - 1, Tubbs G. ⚽, Aboukoura A. (A),
90+7', Tubbs G. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 2, Skinner J. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),

Chances of winning

Loudoun United
45.8%

Draw
24.3%

Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

22.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

23.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	3.86 ↓ (4.07)	3.15 ↑ (2.62)	6.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Loudoun United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Loudoun United?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:

12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2

17.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 0:2

29.06.2024 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0

30.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:0

24.06.2023 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:4

Latest results of Loudoun United

20.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Loudoun United 2:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Loudoun United - San Antonio 2:5 ✺

06.09.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Loudoun United - Miami 3:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Charleston Battery - Loudoun United 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )