Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.90
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
141
Passes
84% (371/441)75% (215/286)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.411.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.531.09
Total shots
2216
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
1810
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
141
Touches in opposition box
4318
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
84% (371/441)75% (215/286)
Long passes
53% (31/58)35% (15/43)
Passes in final third
72% (99/138)61% (43/71)
Crosses
17% (5/30)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.07
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1019
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
4642
Clearances
1133
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.091.53
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Guillen A. 🟨,
  • 14', Marie P. 🟨,
  • 37', Bodily B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', Awuah K. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Arteaga M. (Pen),
  • 58', Santos P. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 58', Mines B. , Aboukoura A. ,
  • 63', Glasgow O. 🟨,
  • 66', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 67', Ordonez A. , Bidois R. ,
  • 76', Wyke L. 🟨,
  • 80', Lasso F. 🟨,
  • 89', Dambrot R. , Ryan Z. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Tubbs G. , Aboukoura A. (A),
  • 90+7', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Skinner J. , Mendez A. (A),

Chances of winning


Loudoun United
45.8%
Draw
24.3%
Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 22.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 23.1% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.25)
    3.86
    (4.07)
    3.15
    (2.62)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:2
    17.08.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 0:2
    29.06.2024 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:0
    30.09.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United 1:0
    24.06.2023 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:4
    Latest results of Loudoun United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 30227156:193773
    2Charleston ✔ 30195662:323062
    3North Carolina ✔ 301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic ✔ 301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh ✔ 301281032:28444
    6Loudoun ✔ 301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 30169550:302057
    2New Mexico ✔ 301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )