Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Snyder T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/441) | 75% (215/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (371/441) | 75% (215/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 35% (15/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/138) | 61% (43/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Guillen A. 🟨,
- 14', Marie P. 🟨,
- 37', Bodily B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 55', Awuah K. 🟨,
- 56', 0 - 1, Arteaga M. (Pen),
- 58', Santos P. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
- 58', Mines B. ↓, Aboukoura A. ↑,
- 63', Glasgow O. 🟨,
- 66', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 67', Ordonez A. ↓, Bidois R. ↑,
- 76', Wyke L. 🟨,
- 80', Lasso F. 🟨,
- 89', Dambrot R. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Aboukoura A. (Pen),
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Tubbs G. ⚽, Aboukoura A. (A),
- 90+7', Tubbs G. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Skinner J. ⚽, Mendez A. (A),
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
45.8% | Draw
24.3% | Tampa Bay Rowdies
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.25) |
3.86 ↓
(4.07) |
3.15 ↑
(2.62) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Loudoun United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Loudoun United?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
12.04.2025
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Loudoun United
1:2
17.08.2024
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Loudoun United
0:2
29.06.2024
Loudoun United
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:0
30.09.2023
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
Loudoun United
1:0
24.06.2023
Loudoun United
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2:4
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
