Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Cup
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (500/559) | 80% (304/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (500/559) | 80% (304/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (34/59) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (120/150) | 55% (40/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Pedro Becker 🟨,
- 26', Pettersen J. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Henderlong K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
- 46', Bryant E. ↓, Roed S. ↑,
- 53', Mattheus 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 0, Henderlong K. ⚽,
- 62', Conway E. ↓, Cicerone R. ↑,
- 62', Pedro Becker ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
- 62', Mattheus ↓, Myers M. ↑,
- 62', Rosa A. ↓, Backstrand H. ↑,
- 70', Burlew R. ↓, Karani S. ↑,
- 70', Henderlong K. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Acoff D. ↑,
- 80', McLaughlin G. ↓, O'Dwyer C. ↑,
- 85', Hilton L. 🟨,
- 86', Sogaard A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Rowdies
70.6% | Draw
18.1% | Sarasota Paradise
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Rowdies's performance.Sarasota Paradise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarasota Paradise than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.44) |
5.15 ↑
(4.5) |
8.21 ↑
(6.34) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Tampa Bay is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarasota Paradise has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tampa Bay is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Sarasota Paradise?
Tampa Bay Rowdies has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarasota Paradise won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Sarasota Paradise has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise were as follows:
Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
