Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 18
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Dodo ⚽,
- 17', Lokosa A. 🟨,
- 19', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Grima M. ↓, Borg L. ↑,
- 66', Valverde A. ↓, Isidoro ↑,
- 67', Portelli N. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
- 79', Arias U. ↓, Simkus D. ↑,
- 79', Musulin M. ↓, Wallisson Bahia ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Nhayson ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 1, El Hasni O. ⚽,
- 89', Dodo ↓, Caruana T. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marsaxlokk
59.3% | Draw
22.5% | Tarxien Rainbows
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsaxlokk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsaxlokk than the current prediction. (-12.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsaxlokk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarxien Rainbows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marsaxlokk - Tarxien Rainbows Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.64) |
4.04 ↑
(3.85) |
4.99 ↑
(4.6) |
10%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk - Tarxien Rainbows?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Marsaxlokk (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marsaxlokk will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Marsaxlokk (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Marsaxlokk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tarxien is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Marsaxlokk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Marsaxlokk is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsaxlokk won against Tarxien Rainbows?
Marsaxlokk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tarxien Rainbows won against Marsaxlokk?
Tarxien Rainbows has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsaxlokk - Tarxien Rainbows were as follows:
02.10.2025
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Marsaxlokk
0:2
01.08.2025
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Marsaxlokk
0:1
Latest results of Marsaxlokk
Latest results of Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20:7 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 4 | Naxxar | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Valletta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
| 6 | Gzira | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Sliema | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Mosta | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7:24 | -17 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
