Result
2:2
13/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 16
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (161/242) | 84% (421/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (161/242) | 84% (421/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (19/59) | 54% (40/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (32/58) | 74% (139/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 3.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Chery T. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Noslin T. (A),
- 26', Onal B. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Onal B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 60', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Hardeveld J. ⚽, Rossen N. (A),
- 67', Hetli S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 69', Chery T. ↓, van Crooij V. ↑,
- 69', Sandler P. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Shiogai K. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 78', Hetli S. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 78', Brouwer P. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 86', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
- 86', Noslin T. ↓, Hamdaoui M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
30.4% | Draw
24.4% | NEC Nijmegen
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Telstar - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(4.2) |
3.87 ↓
(4.1) |
2.1 ↑
(1.7) |
5.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Telstar - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 16 - 64%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 45.2% – 82.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Telstar (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Nijmegen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Nijmegen (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.
- Telstar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nijmegen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nijmegen could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Cillessen J.
(Injury)
El Kachati Y.
(Injury)
Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Kaplan A.
(Yellow Cards)
Lebreton N.
(Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Pereira B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Fonville D.
(Injury)
Sandler P.
(Knock)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against NEC Nijmegen?
Telstar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Telstar?
NEC Nijmegen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
