Lugo vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Fabricio ,
  • 29', Trigueros P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Fabricio ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Trigueros P. , Samanes S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez J. , Nicholas N. ,
  • 59', Caballo D. , Reniero N. ,
  • 59', Junior L. , Alba T. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Samanes S. ,
  • 70', Enric , Juanjo ,
  • 70', Manjam A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 70', Sanz A. , Balde M. ,
  • 72', Alba T. 🟨,
  • 73', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 77', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 77', Balboa A. , Celorio N. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Unzueta I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Gil N. , Zoilo A. ,
  • 86', de Miguel J. , Mesa M. ,
  • 90+6', Lopez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
20.2%
Draw
33.1%
Tenerife
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 30.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 29.1% 48.7%

Lugo - Tenerife Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.52
(3.96)
2.79
(2.97)
2.03
(1.97)
7.1%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Lugo - Tenerife?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tenerife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tenerife has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Tenerife were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    09.11.2025 CD Guadalajara - Lugo 1:1
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Tenerife
    04.12.2025 Tenerife - Granada 0:1
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    15.11.2025 Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B 4:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife15102329:101932
    2Racing Club Ferrol1583420:15527
    3Celta Vigo B1583422:18427
    4Real Madrid B1581619:19025
    5Real Aviles1573524:21324
    6Merida AD1573523:21224
    7Ath Bilbao B1564517:19-222
    8Pontevedra1556417:15221
    9Arenas Getxo1563618:21-321
    10Zamora1555520:19120
    11Unionistas1554618:17119
    12Barakaldo1547417:17019
    13Lugo1547413:13019
    14Ourense CF1546517:18-118
    15Ponferradina1545616:16017
    16Osasuna B1545612:16-417
    17Guadalajara1545615:21-617
    18Cacereno1535711:20-914
    19Arenteiro153489:16-713
    20CF Talavera1533914:19-512

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation