Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Gil N. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
- 59', de Miguel J. ↓, Valles G. ↑,
- 60', Alba T. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 60', Junior L. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
- 63', Reniero N. 🟨,
- 68', Celorio N. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 68', Presa K. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 70', Garriz I. 🟨,
- 73', Enric ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 89', Lopez N. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
- 90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tenerife 67.4% | Draw 24% | Lugo 8.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tenerife - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.47 ↓ (1.53) |
4.28 ↑ (3.38) |
12.52 ↑ (6.35) |
-0.6% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Lugo?
Tenerife has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Tenerife?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Lugo were as follows:
07.12.2025
Lugo
-
Tenerife
2:2
07.04.2023
Lugo
-
Tenerife
0:0
Latest results of Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation