Lugo vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Fabricio ,
  • 29', Trigueros P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Fabricio ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Trigueros P. , Samanes S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez J. , Nicholas N. ,
  • 59', Caballo D. , Reniero N. ,
  • 59', Junior L. , Alba T. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Samanes S. ,
  • 70', Enric , Juanjo ,
  • 70', Manjam A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 70', Sanz A. , Balde M. ,
  • 72', Alba T. 🟨,
  • 73', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 77', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 77', Balboa A. , Celorio N. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Unzueta I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Gil N. , Zoilo A. ,
  • 86', de Miguel J. , Mesa M. ,
  • 90+6', Lopez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
20.2%
Draw
33.1%
Tenerife
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 30.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 29.1% 48.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Lugo - Tenerife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.52
    (3.96)
    2.79
    (2.97)
    2.03
    (1.97)
    7.1%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Lugo - Tenerife?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tenerife will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tenerife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tenerife has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Tenerife were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    09.11.2025 CD Guadalajara - Lugo 1:1
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Tenerife
    04.12.2025 Tenerife - Granada 0:1
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    15.11.2025 Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B 4:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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