Tenerife vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
15
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Enric ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Gil N. , Chapela I. ,
  • 59', de Miguel J. , Valles G. ,
  • 60', Alba T. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 60', Junior L. , Unzueta I. ,
  • 63', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 68', Presa K. , Balboa A. ,
  • 70', Garriz I. 🟨,
  • 73', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ,
  • 89', Lopez N. , Manjam A. ,
  • 90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tenerife
67.4%
Draw
24%
Lugo
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 26.7% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 26% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tenerife - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.53)
    4.28
    (3.38)
    12.52
    (6.35)
    -0.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Lugo were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Lugo - Tenerife 2:2
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Tenerife
    27.02.2026 Tenerife - Real Avilés 2:2
    21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1
    14.02.2026 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:1
    31.01.2026 Tenerife - CD Guadalajara 4:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    27.02.2026 Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0
    21.02.2026 Pontevedra - Lugo 1:1
    15.02.2026 Lugo - CD Guadalajara 2:0
    07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1
    01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation