Lugo vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Fabricio ,
  • 29', Trigueros P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Fabricio ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Trigueros P. , Samanes S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez J. , Nicholas N. ,
  • 59', Caballo D. , Reniero N. ,
  • 59', Junior L. , Alba T. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Samanes S. ,
  • 70', Enric , Juanjo ,
  • 70', Manjam A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 70', Sanz A. , Balde M. ,
  • 72', Alba T. 🟨,
  • 73', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 77', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 77', Balboa A. , Celorio N. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Unzueta I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Gil N. , Zoilo A. ,
  • 86', de Miguel J. , Mesa M. ,
  • 90+6', Lopez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
20.2%
Draw
33.1%
Tenerife
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 30.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 29.1% 48.7%

Lugo - Tenerife Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.52
(3.96)
2.79
(2.97)
2.03
(1.97)
7.1%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Lugo - Tenerife?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tenerife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tenerife has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Tenerife were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    09.11.2025 CD Guadalajara - Lugo 1:1
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Tenerife
    04.12.2025 Tenerife - Granada 0:1
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    15.11.2025 Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B 4:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife20152336:102647
    2Celta Vigo B20114530:24637
    3Pontevedra2097426:17934
    4Real Madrid B20102826:26032
    5Ath Bilbao B2094723:25-231
    6Zamora2086626:22430
    7Real Aviles2093829:28130
    8Racing Club Ferrol2093824:24030
    9Barakaldo2078528:22629
    10Lugo2078519:17229
    11AD Merida2084828:28028
    12Ourense CF2067724:25-125
    13Unionistas2066824:27-324
    14Arenas Getxo20731023:29-624
    15Ponferradina2065922:22023
    16CF Talavera20641021:23-222
    17Arenteiro20551015:22-720
    18Cacereno2047918:28-1019
    19Osasuna B20461012:23-1118
    20Guadalajara20461020:32-1218

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