Tenerife vs Lugo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
34
Yellow cards
15
Total shots
86
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Enric ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Gil N. , Chapela I. ,
  • 59', de Miguel J. , Valles G. ,
  • 60', Alba T. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 60', Junior L. , Unzueta I. ,
  • 63', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 68', Celorio N. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 68', Presa K. , Balboa A. ,
  • 70', Garriz I. 🟨,
  • 73', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Unzueta I. ,
  • 89', Lopez N. , Manjam A. ,
  • 90+1', Unzueta I. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Valles G. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tenerife
67.4%
Draw
24%
Lugo
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 26.7% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 26% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tenerife - Lugo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.53)
    4.28
    (3.38)
    12.52
    (6.35)
    -0.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Lugo were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Lugo - Tenerife 2:2
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Tenerife
    27.02.2026 Tenerife - Real Avilés 2:2
    21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1
    14.02.2026 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:1
    31.01.2026 Tenerife - CD Guadalajara 4:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    27.02.2026 Lugo - Athletic Bilbao B 1:0
    21.02.2026 Pontevedra - Lugo 1:1
    15.02.2026 Lugo - CD Guadalajara 2:0
    07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1
    01.02.2026 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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