Lugo vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
52
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Fabricio ,
  • 29', Trigueros P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Fabricio ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Trigueros P. , Samanes S. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez J. , Nicholas N. ,
  • 59', Caballo D. , Reniero N. ,
  • 59', Junior L. , Alba T. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Samanes S. ,
  • 70', Enric , Juanjo ,
  • 70', Manjam A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 70', Sanz A. , Balde M. ,
  • 72', Alba T. 🟨,
  • 73', Reniero N. 🟨,
  • 77', Balde M. 🟨,
  • 77', Balboa A. , Celorio N. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Unzueta I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Gil N. , Zoilo A. ,
  • 86', de Miguel J. , Mesa M. ,
  • 90+6', Lopez I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
20.2%
Draw
33.1%
Tenerife
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 30.7% 46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8% 29.1% 48.7%

Lugo - Tenerife Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.52
(3.96)
2.79
(2.97)
2.03
(1.97)
7.1%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Lugo - Tenerife?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tenerife may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tenerife has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Tenerife were as follows:
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    Latest results of Lugo
    29.11.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Lugo 2:0
    22.11.2025 Lugo - Pontevedra 1:0
    15.11.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 1:1
    09.11.2025 CD Guadalajara - Lugo 1:1
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Tenerife
    04.12.2025 Tenerife - Granada 0:1
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    15.11.2025 Tenerife - Celta de Vigo B 4:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife17122332:102238
    2Celta Vigo B17103425:19633
    3Racing Club Ferrol1793523:18530
    4Real Madrid B1791722:21128
    5Pontevedra1776420:15527
    6Real Aviles1783626:23327
    7Zamora1775525:21426
    8Ath Bilbao B1774621:23-225
    9Merida AD1773726:26024
    10Lugo1758415:14123
    11Arenas Getxo1763819:25-621
    12Unionistas1755721:21020
    13Barakaldo1748519:20-120
    14Ourense CF1747620:22-219
    15Arenteiro1754814:17-319
    16CF Talavera1753918:21-318
    17Osasuna B1746712:18-618
    18Ponferradina1745817:21-417
    19Guadalajara1745818:27-917
    20Cacereno1736813:24-1115

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          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
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