Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1031
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
710
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
1031
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
523
Corner Kicks
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Aguilar M. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Madrid W. ,
  • 31', Madrid W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Munoz Z. , Garcia D. ,
  • 65', Gomez J. , Talavera J. ,
  • 66', Galvan P. , Miranda J. ,
  • 67', Navarrete D. , Casillas J. ,
  • 72', Cerda J. , Moreno Villegas J. A. ,
  • 79', Vidrio N. , Grijalva A. ,
  • 79', Madrid W. , Espinosa E. ,
  • 83', Guzman W. , Lopez F. ,
  • 83', Aguilar M. , Machado J. ,
  • 83', Ballesteros O. , Lorona L. ,
  • 90+3', Venegas J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Venados
44.9%
Draw
26.4%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 26% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 25.6% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.08)
    3.53
    (3.61)
    3.26
    (3.24)
    7%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3.
    • Venados is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tepatitlán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tepatitlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Venados will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Venados won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
    10.01.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados 2:2
    26.07.2024 Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1
    18.01.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados 0:5
    27.09.2023 Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos 5:1
    04.01.2023 Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:0
    Latest results of Venados
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)