Result
10/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Venados
43% | Draw
28.6% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.08) |
3.25 ↓
(3.61) |
3.28 ↑
(3.24) |
7.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3.
- Venados is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Tepatitlán has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Venados might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Venados won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Venados has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Venados?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
10.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Venados
2:2
26.07.2024
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
18.01.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Venados
0:5
27.09.2023
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
5:1
04.01.2023
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
