Termalica Nieciecza vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.01
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
75% (249/332)84% (383/454)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.72
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
148
Passes
75% (249/332)84% (383/454)
Long passes
46% (26/57)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
54% (51/94)72% (65/90)
Crosses
21% (3/14)8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.79
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
814
Tackles
44% (4/9)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5031
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.721.24
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Grosicki K. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Koutris L. , Leo Borges ,
  • 46', Przyborek A. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 46', Paryzek P. , Juwara M. ,
  • 64', Jimenez J. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 65', Trubeha A. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. , Ulvestad F. (A),
  • 68', Wahlqvist L. , Lis J. ,
  • 69', Wolski M. , Hilbrycht D. ,
  • 77', Loncar D. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Deisadze D. ,
  • 82', Boboc R. , Masoero L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
37.7%
Draw
27.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 29.7% 39.9%

Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.62
(2.95)
3.59
(3.18)
2.91
(2.36)
0.3%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 8%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Cojocaru V. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Jagiellonia1785429:21829
    4Rakow1892726:23329
    5Zaglebie1877431:24728
    6Cracovia1876525:21427
    7Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    8Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Motor Lublin1849523:28-521
    12Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    13Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    14Piast Gliwice1755719:19020
    15Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    16GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    17Legia1847719:21-219
    18Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Division 1