Termalica Nieciecza vs Pogoń Szczecin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 3
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.01
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
75% (249/332)84% (383/454)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.240.72
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
148
Passes
75% (249/332)84% (383/454)
Long passes
46% (26/57)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
54% (51/94)72% (65/90)
Crosses
21% (3/14)8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.79
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
814
Tackles
44% (4/9)89% (8/9)
Duels won
5031
Clearances
3621
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.721.24
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Grosicki K. 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. , Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Koutris L. , Leo Borges ,
  • 46', Przyborek A. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 46', Paryzek P. , Juwara M. ,
  • 64', Jimenez J. , Strzalek I. ,
  • 65', Trubeha A. , Kurzawa R. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. , Ulvestad F. (A),
  • 68', Wahlqvist L. , Lis J. ,
  • 69', Wolski M. , Hilbrycht D. ,
  • 77', Loncar D. , Keramitsis D. ,
  • 82', Fassbender M. , Deisadze D. ,
  • 82', Boboc R. , Masoero L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Termalica Nieciecza
37.7%
Draw
27.8%
Pogoń Szczecin
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.2% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 29.7% 39.9%

Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.62
(2.95)
3.59
(3.18)
2.91
(2.36)
0.3%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 8%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Cojocaru V. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1592426:141229
    2Jagiellonia1483327:18927
    3Wisla Plock1475219:10926
    4Rakow1472520:18223
    5Radomiak Radom1564528:24422
    6Cracovia1464421:17422
    7Zaglebie1456327:18921
    8Lech Poznan1456323:23021
    9Korona Kielce1555517:16120
    10Arka Gdynia1553713:26-1318
    11Legia1445516:15117
    12Widzew Lodz1552822:23-117
    13GKS Katowice1552821:27-617
    14Pogon Szczecin1552821:27-617
    15Motor Lublin1437419:24-516
    16Lechia Gdansk1553725:32-713
    17Termalica B-B1534819:29-1013
    18Piast Gliwice1325613:16-311

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          Relegation ~ Division 1