Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 3
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/332) | 84% (383/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/332) | 84% (383/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/94) | 72% (65/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 8% (2/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Grosicki K. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. ⚽, Ambrosiewicz M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Koutris L. ↓, Leo Borges ↑,
- 46', Przyborek A. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 46', Paryzek P. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
- 64', Jimenez J. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
- 65', Trubeha A. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Grosicki K. ⚽, Ulvestad F. (A),
- 68', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
- 69', Wolski M. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
- 77', Loncar D. ↓, Keramitsis D. ↑,
- 82', Fassbender M. ↓, Deisadze D. ↑,
- 82', Boboc R. ↓, Masoero L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Termalica Nieciecza
37.7% | Draw
27.8% | Pogoń Szczecin
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Termalica Nieciecza's performance.Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Termalica Nieciecza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.95) |
3.59 ↑
(3.18) |
2.91 ↑
(2.36) |
0.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 8% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Pogoń Szczecin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Renyer
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Termalica: Zapolnik K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Cojocaru V.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Termalica Nieciecza won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Termalica Nieciecza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Termalica Nieciecza?
Pogoń Szczecin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
