Widzew Łódź vs Termalica Nieciecza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 28
  • Referee: Stefanski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.130.72
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
101
Passes
79% (314/398)70% (224/321)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.130.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.310.33
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
147
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1914
Passes
79% (314/398)70% (224/321)
Long passes
41% (23/56)37% (24/65)
Passes in final third
65% (86/133)57% (72/126)
Crosses
29% (10/35)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.87
Throw ins
2322
Fouls
1419
Tackles
40% (6/15)44% (8/18)
Duels won
6861
Clearances
3245
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
0.332.31
Goals prevented
0.331.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 33', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Strzalek I. , Trubeha A. ,
  • 63', Selahi L. , Baena Perez A. ,
  • 68', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,
  • 72', Jimenez J. , Kubica K. ,
  • 81', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 82', Isaac C. , Zeqiri A. ,
  • 85', Boboc R. , Fassbender M. ,
  • 85', Zapolnik K. , Durdov I. ,
  • 85', Guerrero S. , Matysik M. ,
  • 86', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Bergier S. , Fornalczyk M. (A),
  • 90+2', Fornalczyk M. , Zyro M. ,
  • 90+6', Zeqiri A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Widzew Łódź
63.5%
Draw
21.8%
Termalica Nieciecza
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.1% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 20% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.
  • Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Termalica Nieciecza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.6)
    4.3
    (3.39)
    6.4
    (4.8)
    6.7%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza?
  • Users Predictions: Widzew Łódź will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Widzew Łódź will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3.
    • Widzew has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Termalica is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Widzew is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Widzew: Bukari O. (Inactive) Cheng C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Termalica: Hilbrycht D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Termalica: Kopacz B. (Inactive) Kurzawa R. (Inactive) Wolski M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:4
    24.09.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź 2:3
    Latest results of Widzew Łódź
    Latest results of Termalica Nieciecza
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan311510656:411555
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3GKS Katowice311451248:42647
    4Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    5Rakow301371043:37646
    6Zaglebie311291043:36745
    7Wisla Plock311291032:31145
    8Pogon Szczecin311251443:45-241
    9Piast Gliwice311171340:41-140
    10Legia31913935:36-140
    11Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    12Korona Kielce311091238:37139
    13Cracovia319121035:38-339
    14Motor Lublin319121039:46-739
    15Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    16Widzew Lodz311061536:38-236
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B31771737:60-2328

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1