Result
0:3
16/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport MIX |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Dubickas E. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Martella B. ⚽,
- 42', Borsoi M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kerrigan L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Lombardi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Borsoi M. ↓, Biggi S. ↑,
- 46', Martella B. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
- 46', Gagliardi L. ↓, Serbouti A. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 3, Pettinari S. ⚽,
- 67', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 67', Majer Z. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
- 67', Pettinari S. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 73', D'Andrea F. ↓, Spina M. ↑,
- 73', Lombardi L. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
- 74', Ienco S. 🟨,
- 80', Schirone L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
- 85', Orellana M. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pineto
25.8% | Draw
31.6% | Ternana
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pineto's form might have worsened.Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pineto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Pineto - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.55 ↑
(2.7) |
2.89 ↓
(3.1) |
2.15 ↓
(2.33) |
9.2%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pineto - Ternana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ternana (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ternana will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In recent matches, Pineto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ternana is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ternana might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pineto won against Ternana?
Pineto has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Pineto?
Ternana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pineto - Ternana were as follows:
04.10.2025
Ternana
-
Pineto
2:1
17.01.2025
Pineto
-
Ternana
1:0
15.09.2024
Ternana
-
Pineto
3:0
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
